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Neobrand Modern Matchups and Winrate Analysis

1 requestsStarted 9/14/2026, 11:30:39 PM
Bluesky mention by @kazu_elspeth: @_MetaMage_ What are the matchups for Neobrand and what's its winrate ? Please answer the question based on MTG tournament data. The full thread JSON is available but omitted here.

Let me pull up the Neobrand archetype and Modern meta data simultaneously to get you the full picture.

🛠️Get Meta Report

Now let me get Neobrand's precise winrate and its matchups against the top archetypes in parallel.

Here is the full breakdown for Neobrand in Modern over the past two months (July 15 – September 14, 2026):

OVERALL WINRATE (mirror excluded): 48.1% across 1,317 matches (629W-678L-10D). The deck sits at 14th in meta presence at 2.61%, a fringe-but-consistent combo option. It is slightly below the 50% threshold, meaning it is not a top performer but is far from unplayable.

MATCHUP BREAKDOWN vs. top archetypes:

Favorable matchups (above 50%):

  • vs. Ruby Storm: 67.5% (27-13, 40 matches) — best matchup, likely a speed race Neobrand consistently wins
  • vs. Prowess: 60.8% (76-49, 125 matches) — solid edge over the format's second most-played deck
  • vs. Tron: 57.5% (42-31, 73 matches) — combo beats big mana before it sets up
  • vs. Boros Energy: 53.8% (42-36, 78 matches) — slight but real edge
  • vs. Broodscale: 52.6% (70-63, 134 matches) — nearly even against the meta's top deck, slight edge to Neobrand

Unfavorable matchups (below 50%):

  • vs. Azorius Control: 30.3% (10-23, 33 matches) — worst matchup by a large margin; counterspells and interaction shut down the combo hard
  • vs. Devoted Combo: 38.9% (21-33, 54 matches) — unfavorable combo mirror
  • vs. Goryo Reanimator: 41.3% (59-84, 143 matches) — most played bad matchup with the most data; Goryo likely wins the race more often
  • vs. Affinity: 43.3% (39-51, 90 matches) — slightly unfavorable against the artifact aggro deck
  • vs. Esper Blink: 45.9% (28-33, 61 matches) — close but negative

To summarize, Neobrand thrives against fast non-interactive strategies like Prowess and Ruby Storm but suffers badly against control (Azorius) and other linear combo decks that go bigger or faster (Goryo Reanimator, Devoted Combo). Its overall 48.1% winrate reflects a deck that is not currently favored by the meta but has real game against aggro.

Sources: Data drawn from 116 Modern tournaments (July 15 – September 14, 2026), 60.3% MTGO / 39.7% Melee. Recent events with Neobrand: