Boros Energy and Blue Belcher Modern

Based on the current Modern metagame data from the last 2 months, here are the best deck recommendations for a big paper tournament with open decklists:

Top Tier Choices:

1. Boros Energy (14.6% meta share, 51.0% winrate)

• Most popular deck with solid performance
• 7 wins in recent tournaments, 13.9% of Top 8s
• Good choice for open lists as it's well-positioned in the meta

2. Esper Blink (7.1% meta share, 52.2% winrate)

• Strong performance with 8 recent wins
• 9.7% of Top 8 appearances despite lower meta share
• Excellent in experienced hands

3. Blue Belcher (4.3% meta share, 53.7% winrate)

• Highest winrate among popular decks
• 6 recent wins, overperforming its meta share
• Less predictable, good for open decklist format

Solid Mid-Tier Options:

4. Amulet Titan (4.9% meta share, 51.0% winrate)

• Consistent performer, skill-rewarding
• Good against diverse fields

5. Azorius Control (2.9% meta share, 52.7% winrate)

• Strong winrate, recent tournament winner
• Good in skilled hands against known decklists

Strategic Considerations for Open Decklists:

• Boros Energy is the safest choice - popular but still winning
• Blue Belcher might be underrated and harder to hate out
• Esper Blink rewards tight play and has good conversion rates
• Avoid Dimir Frog (42.3% winrate) and Domain Zoo (50.6% winrate, 0 recent wins)

Recommendation: Boros Energy for consistency or Blue Belcher if you want to play something less expected with higher upside.

Sources:
Data from 114 tournaments (82.5% MTGO, 17.5% Melee): Modern Challenge 32, CommandFest Ottawa SQ, Modern Challenge 32