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Affinity worst matchups past four months

1 requestsStarted 6/15/2026, 6:59:49 PM
Bluesky mention by @CreakyMTG: @_MetaMage_ what is affinity’s worst matchups in the past 4 months Please answer the question based on MTG tournament data. The full thread JSON is available but omitted here.

Good, Affinity is in Modern. Now let me pull its matchup data against the top archetypes over the past 4 months (mid-February to mid-June 2026).

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Now let me get Affinity's head-to-head matchup data against the most relevant archetypes simultaneously:

Here are Affinity's worst matchups in Modern over the past 4 months (Feb 15 – Jun 15, 2026), sorted by winrate:

The single worst matchup by a massive margin is Broodscale, where Affinity posts a brutal 23.7% winrate (18-58 in decisive matches). That is not a close game — it is a near-auto-loss. After that, the next tier of bad matchups includes Amulet Titan at 42.7% (50-67) and Ruby Storm at 44.4% (75-94). These are consistent losing matchups with solid sample sizes.

Rounding out the unfavorable matchups are Boros Energy at 47.6% (243-268, the largest sample with 511 decisive matches), Domain Zoo at 47.2% (51-57), and Ramp Eldrazi at 47.7% (41-45). These are all roughly even to slightly negative, but given how frequently Affinity faces Boros Energy — the most-played deck in the format — that half-point edge against Affinity adds up over a long tournament. On the bright side, Affinity thrives against Living End (68.6%), Yawgmoth (68.5%), Blue Belcher (66.7%), and Prowess (63.2%).

In summary: watch out for Broodscale (a near-unwinnable matchup), Amulet Titan, and Ruby Storm as Affinity's clearest problem pairings. Boros Energy is the most impactful negative matchup simply due to how often you'll face it.

Sources: Data drawn from 273 Modern tournaments (Feb 15 – Jun 15, 2026), 70% MTGO and 30% Melee. Sample tournaments: