The overview matched "temur prowess" in Standard instead of Modern. Let me resolve the correct archetype.
Good, I have the entries. Now let me pull match-level data to compute per-matchup winrates split by Academic Dispute.
The result column isn't being populated. Let me check the matches table structure to understand the result values and make sure the joins are correct.
Results are stored as "WIN"/"LOSS"/"DRAW". Let me redo the matchup query with the correct values.
Now let me also get the board location of Academic Dispute (main vs side) and the overall winrate split.
I now have all the data needed. Let me compile the full picture.
Here is the breakdown for Modern Prowess, with vs. without Academic Dispute in the main deck, across the last 30 days (May 15 to June 15, 2026). The archetype in the database is labeled "Prowess" (URG color), which covers the UR Prowess shells you asked about.
Academic Dispute appears in only 17 of the 181 Prowess entries (9.4% of pilots), exclusively in the main deck, typically as a 4-of (avg 3.94 copies). Sample sizes on the "with AD" side are small, so treat these numbers as directional rather than conclusive.
Overall (non-mirror, all matchups combined):
Without AD: 164 entries
With AD: 17 entries
Matchups with enough data to compare (min 3 matches per group):
vs Boros Energy (55 / 8 matches):
Without AD: 30W-25L = 54.5%
With AD: 6W-2L = 75.0%
Difference: +20.5 pp in favor of AD
vs Affinity (52 / 7 matches):
Without AD: 19W-33L = 36.5%
With AD: 3W-4L = 42.9%
Difference: +6.4 pp (small sample)
vs Domain Zoo (18 / 7 matches):
Without AD: 8W-10L = 44.4%
With AD: 4W-3L = 57.1%
Difference: +12.7 pp
vs Broodscale (30 / 5 matches):
Without AD: 18W-12L = 60.0%
With AD: 2W-3L = 40.0%
Difference: -20.0 pp (AD looks worse here, though sample is tiny)
vs Grixis Reanimator (35 / 4 matches):
Without AD: 15W-19L = 44.1%
With AD: 1W-3L = 25.0%
Difference: -19.1 pp (again, very small AD sample)
vs Ruby Storm (22 / 3 matches):
Without AD: 12W-9L = 57.1%
With AD: 1W-2L = 33.3%
Difference: -23.8 pp (3 matches, high variance)
The most interesting signal is vs Boros Energy, the most-played matchup, where the AD version posts a notably better 75% vs 54.5%. This aligns with Academic Dispute's role as a tempo spell that turns an opponent's creature into a potential blocker-killer through first strike — especially useful against Energy's wide, power-stacked boards. In all other matchups the AD sample is too thin (4-8 matches) to draw firm conclusions; the apparent negatives vs Broodscale, Grixis Reanimator, and Ruby Storm are within noise range.
Sources: Data from 69 Modern tournaments (May 15 to June 15, 2026), 65% MTGO / 35% Melee. 181 total Prowess entries across 17 of which ran Academic Dispute in the main deck.