Good, it's Pauper. Now let me pull all the matchup winrates, archetype cards, and meta context simultaneously.
The "UB Tolarian Terror" alias is resolving to "dimir terror" under the hood, but the matchup queries need the exact archetype names from the DB. Let me check what the actual archetype names are and broaden the date range to get card data.
Now I have the archetype names from the DB. Let me run all the matchups with the correct names, and also check for Jund Wildfire and Red Madness specifically.
Jund Wildfire isn't found. Let me also try the mono blue faeries for "Faeries" and search for Jund Wildfire more broadly.
No "Jund Wildfire" exists in the DB. The closest Jund archetypes are Jund Midrange and others. I also notice "Blue Terror" could refer to Mono Blue Terror and "Faeries" could be either Dimir or Mono Blue Faeries — and Mono Blue Faeries was a brutal matchup (22.2%). I have all the data I need. Let me compile the full report.
Here is the full UB (Dimir) Terror matchup and card analysis for Pauper, covering the last 60 days (Feb 6 – Apr 7, 2026).
MATCHUP WIN RATES (UB TERROR)
Note on naming: "Blue Terror" = Mono Blue Terror in the DB; "Faeries" resolved to both Dimir Faeries and Mono Blue Faeries (both shown); "Jund Wildfire" does not exist as a tracked archetype — the closest registered Jund variants are Jund Midrange, Jund Ponza, and Jund Pestilence. Jund Midrange is used in its place.
Red Madness: 65.5% (55W-29L, 84 matches) — FAVORABLE
Spy Combo: 65.2% (15W-8L, 23 matches) — FAVORABLE
Jund Midrange (Wildfire proxy): 58.8% (20W-14L, 34 decisive) — FAVORABLE
Blue Terror (Mono Blue): 55.6% (20W-16L, 36 matches) — SLIGHT EDGE
Grixis Affinity: 54.8% (23W-19L, 42 decisive) — SLIGHT EDGE
Elves: 53.7% (29W-25L, 54 decisive) — SLIGHT EDGE
Dimir Faeries: 54.2% (13W-11L, 24 decisive) — SLIGHT EDGE
White Aggro: 52.2% (12W-11L, 23 decisive) — EVEN
Golgari Gardens: 50.0% (10W-10L, 20 matches) — EVEN
Red Rally: 46.4% (13W-15L, 28 matches) — UNFAVORABLE
Mono Blue Faeries: 22.2% (4W-14L, 18 decisive) — STRONGLY UNFAVORABLE
MAINDECK CARD ANALYSIS
Core locked slots (near 100% presence across all lists):
Brainstorm x4 (100%), Counterspell x4 (100%), Tolarian Terror x4 (100%), Lorien Revealed x4 (98.7%), Snuff Out ~3-4 (98%), Thought Scour x4 (89.5%), Contaminated Aquifer + Ice Tunnel (manabase, 91%/87%).
Flex maindeck slots by matchup logic (based on adoption rates and relevant opposition):
vs. Red Madness / Red Rally (aggressive red):
Suffocating Fumes (59% main presence, 1.0 avg) is the premier sweeper answer to 1/1 token swarms and small creatures — it's the key flex card here. Unexpected Fangs (93% presence, ~1.5 avg) incidentally gains life and helps race. Spell Pierce (78%) answers burn spells and red payoffs pre-sideboard.
vs. Mono Blue Faeries (hardest matchup, 22.2%):
Murmuring Mystic (55% main, 1.4 avg) is the primary threat vs. flash-heavy blue decks — generating 1/1 fliers at instant speed matches their tempo plan. This is likely the single most impactful flex card for that matchup. Sneaky Snacker (79.6%, ~4 avg) also plays well in tempo wars but is worse against Faeries' evasive threats.
vs. Spy Combo (already 65% but glass cannon risk):
Counterspell + Spell Pierce do heavy lifting pre-board. Deep Analysis (59.9% main, 1.15 avg) helps dig for disruption in longer games.
vs. Elves:
Suffocating Fumes and Abandon Attachments (79.6% main, 3.3 avg) are the key interactive pieces — Abandon Attachments bouncing an aura or key equipment can break up their synergies.
vs. Grixis Affinity:
Cast Down (92.8%, 2.2 avg) hits all their non-artifact creatures. Steel Sabotage and Annul are the primary answers but live in the sideboard.
SIDEBOARD CARD ANALYSIS
Full sideboard breakdown by matchup:
Arms of Hadar (92.1%, 1.5 avg): Mass removal for small creatures. Best against Elves, White Aggro, and Red Madness go-wide strategies. Near-universal inclusion, essentially a core sideboard slot.
Blue Elemental Blast / Hydroblast (88.8% / 76.3%): The primary Red Madness hate. Answering Thermo-Alchemist, Fiery Temper, and key red threats. Both overlap significantly; most lists carry a combined 4-5 copies across both.
Annul (88.8%, 2.5 avg): Artifact and enchantment counterspell. Best vs. Grixis Affinity (hitting key artifacts and Makeshift Munitions), and secondarily vs. White Aggro (auras). A top-tier sideboard staple.
Nihil Spellbomb (87.5%, 2.0 avg): Graveyard hate with cantrip upside. Relevant primarily against the mirror (Dimir Terror's Gurmag/Tolarian self-mill) and any Jund Graveyard builds. Near-universal.
Extract a Confession (68.4%, 1.4 avg): Hand disruption and conditional removal. Best vs. Spy Combo (stripping combo pieces) and Jund Midrange.
Steel Sabotage (52%, 2.2 avg): The best targeted artifact answer vs. Grixis Affinity — bouncing or countering key pieces like Galvanic Relay payoffs or Myr Enforcer.
Murmuring Mystic (48%, 1.0 avg): As a SB card, it reinforces the Mono Blue Faeries and Blue Terror matchups where you want more threats that go wide against their permission suite.
Suffocating Fumes (40.1%, 1.15 avg): For lists not running it main, it comes in heavily vs. Elves and White Aggro go-wide boards.
Thorn of the Black Rose (31.6%, 1.06 avg): Card advantage via Monarch against midrange and slower decks — Jund Midrange and Golgari Gardens are the prime targets.
Unexpected Fangs (SB, 56.6%): Extra copies board in vs. aggressive red for life gain and lifelink on Tolarian Terror or Gurmag.
SUMMARY RECOMMENDATIONS BY MATCHUP:
Red Madness (65.5%): Already heavily favored. Board in Blue Elemental Blast / Hydroblast and extra Unexpected Fangs. Main Suffocating Fumes if not already there.
Spy Combo (65.2%): Favored. Board in Extract a Confession to strip combo pieces early. Keep Counterspells and Spell Pierce up.
Jund Midrange (58.8%): Favored. Bring in Thorn of the Black Rose for card advantage; Extract a Confession for hand disruption. Side out some Snuff Outs if they have few targets.
Blue Terror / Mono Blue Terror (55.6%): Slight edge. Bring in Murmuring Mystic and extra Dispel; side out some Cast Downs (dead cards).
Grixis Affinity (54.8%): Slight edge. Board in Annul, Steel Sabotage; remove some Snuff Outs.
Elves (53.7%): Slight edge. Arms of Hadar and Suffocating Fumes are essential. Side in all sweepers.
Dimir Faeries (54.2%): Slight edge. Murmuring Mystic, Dispel, and Thorn of the Black Rose shine here.
White Aggro (52.2%): Even. Arms of Hadar plus Annul (for Aura variants) are the key pieces. Suffocating Fumes helps too.
Golgari Gardens (50.0%): Dead even. Nihil Spellbomb disrupts their recursion engine; Thorn of the Black Rose generates pressure. Consider Bojuka Bog if running it maindeck.
Red Rally (46.4%): Slight disadvantage. Arms of Hadar is essential — their go-wide tokens exploit your single-target removal. Hydroblast answers their red pump spells.
Mono Blue Faeries (22.2%): Severe disadvantage. This is your hardest matchup. Prioritize Murmuring Mystic (gives you flash bodies to trade), extra Dispel, and Hydroblast vs. any burn-out lines. This matchup likely requires a fundamental approach rethink at the list-building stage.
Sources: Data from 67 tournaments (Feb 6 – Apr 7, 2026) covering 142 Dimir Terror entries and 704 total matches. Source breakdown: 47.8% Melee, 29.9% MTGO, 22.4% Cardsrealm.
Recent events:
https://www.mtgo.com/decklist/pauper-challenge-32-2026-04-0512838145
https://melee.gg/Decklist/View/fd84e295-9448-4af7-aef7-b42200e9c387
https://www.mtgo.com/decklist/pauper-challenge-32-2026-04-0412838126