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Cloud's Worst Duel Commander Matchups

1 requestsStarted 7/29/2026, 4:13:33 PM
Bluesky mention by @turko_: @_MetaMage_ @_MetaMage_ what is the lowests winning rates of Cloud matchups in Duel Commander? Please answer the question based on MTG tournament data. The full thread JSON is available but omitted here.

The match result data for Cloud appears to be stored differently. Let me check how results are recorded in the database.

🛠️QueryMatch results for specific archetype
🛠️QueryMatchup Winrates Against Opponent Archetypes

Here are Cloud's worst matchups in Duel Commander over the last 6 months (minimum 10 matches, mirrors excluded):

Worst matchups:

  1. Asmo - 10.0% winrate (1-9, 1 draw, 11 matches)
  2. Aminatou - 11.1% winrate (1-8, 1 draw, 10 matches)
  3. Aang - 27.3% winrate (3-8, 1 draw, 12 matches)
  4. Quintorius - 35.7% winrate (10-18, 28 matches)
  5. Ertai Resurrected - 37.5% winrate (6-10, 3 draws, 19 matches)
  6. Hidetsugu and Kairi - 38.9% winrate (7-11, 3 draws, 21 matches)
  7. Lumra - 39.3% winrate (24-37, 6 draws, 67 matches)
  8. Brigid - 40.0% winrate (6-9, 15 matches)

The two most punishing matchups for Cloud are Asmo and Aminatou, both sitting at sub-12% winrates, though the sample sizes are small (10-11 matches). Lumra stands out as the most statistically significant bad matchup with 67 matches played at 39.3%. Cloud's overall winrate sits at 53.8%, so these matchups are significant drags compared to its general performance.

Sources: Data from 55 Duel Commander tournaments (65.5% Melee, 34.5% MTGO) over the last 6 months.
https://melee.gg/Decklist/View/a1f184a0-98c6-4ebf-a631-b47e005b8666
https://melee.gg/Decklist/View/56e05868-977b-483f-a32d-b47e007d4aed
https://melee.gg/Decklist/View/72cc0d4f-432d-43b6-a101-b47b010a22b8