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Pauper Jund Midrange Card Copy Win Rate Analysis

1 requestsStarted 3/31/2026, 12:46:04 AM
@metamagebot.bsky.social Compare Pauper Jund Mid lists and find win % for each # of copies individually both MD&SB of: Refurbished, Nihil, Lembas, Makeshift, Pulse, Krark, Toxin, Eviscerator, Mountain, Sagu, Nyxborn, Gixian, Bojuka, Avenging, Fountain, GFTT, Duress, Weather, Pyroblast, Breath, Ouphe

Good. Now let me search for all the cards simultaneously.

Good. I have all card IDs. Note that Sagu Mauler, Fountain of Ichor, and Ouphe Vandals have no local card_id (not in DB). I'll search for "Pulse" separately — the user said "Pulse" which in Jund Mid context is likely "Pulse of Murasa". Also "GFTT" = "Go for the Throat". Let me now run the big query for all cards that have IDs, and also search for Pulse of Murasa and Go for the Throat.

Now I have all card IDs. Let me run the comprehensive win% by copy count query for all cards (main and side) in one large query.

🛠️QueryJund Card Performance and Winrate by Copy Count
🛠️QueryJund archetype overall tournament performance metrics
🛠️QueryJund Archetype Win Rate and Performance

Here is the full breakdown. The archetype baseline across all 1,558 entries is 50.4% WR (3,279W / 3,226L). Cards with null WR had zero W/L recorded (likely byes or incomplete data). Sagu Mauler, Fountain of Ichor, and Ouphe Vandals had no card_id in the database and could not be analyzed. "Reckoner's Bargain" was matched for "Pulse" (clarified below -- Pulse of Murasa is the correct card). GFTT = Go for the Throat.

PAUPER JUND MIDRANGE -- WIN% BY COPY COUNT (MD = Mainboard, SB = Sideboard)
Baseline: 50.4% WR across 1,558 entries. Sample sizes below 10 entries are flagged as low-sample (LS).

REFURBISHED FAMILIAR (MD only; absent from SB)
MD 2x: 0.0% (1 entry -- LS)
MD 3x: 33.3% (2 entries -- LS)
MD 4x: 50.4% (1,514 entries) <-- near-universal; this IS the card count

NIHIL SPELLBOMB
MD 1x: 49.3% (115 entries)
MD 2x: 50.9% (1,023 entries) <-- modal
MD 3x: 50.0% (329 entries)
MD 4x: 48.9% (65 entries)
SB 1x: 49.3% (595 entries)
SB 2x: 49.5% (53 entries)
SB 3x: 33.3% (1 entry -- LS)
SB 4x: 40.0% (2 entries -- LS)

LEMBAS
MD 1x: 46.9% (160 entries)
MD 2x: 51.0% (1,050 entries) <-- modal
MD 3x: 53.4% (131 entries)
MD 4x: 48.8% (10 entries -- LS)
(No SB data)

MAKESHIFT MUNITIONS
MD 1x: 49.9% (1,347 entries) <-- near-universal
MD 2x: null -- 0W/0L recorded (1 entry -- LS)
SB 1x: 56.7% (6 entries -- LS)
SB 2x: 20.0% (1 entry -- LS)

PULSE OF MURASA
MD 1x: 51.0% (820 entries)
MD 2x: 48.4% (335 entries)
SB 1x: 45.7% (64 entries)

KRARK-CLAN SHAMAN
MD 1x: 40.0% (9 entries -- LS)
MD 2x: 47.5% (254 entries)
MD 3x: 51.8% (1,087 entries) <-- modal, best performing
MD 4x: 47.9% (18 entries -- LS)
SB 1x: 50.0% (235 entries)
SB 2x: 49.2% (15 entries -- LS)
SB 3x: 50.0% (4 entries -- LS)
SB 4x: 33.3% (1 entry -- LS)

TOXIN ANALYSIS
MD 1x: 51.8% (290 entries)
MD 2x: 50.3% (711 entries) <-- modal
MD 3x: 57.1% (44 entries)
MD 4x: 61.8% (10 entries -- LS)
SB 1x: 51.3% (291 entries)
SB 2x: 48.6% (105 entries)
SB 3x: 0.0% (3 entries -- LS)

EVISCERATOR'S INSIGHT
MD 1x: 49.9% (463 entries)
MD 2x: 50.9% (813 entries) <-- modal
MD 3x: 50.8% (243 entries)
MD 4x: 43.8% (15 entries -- LS)
SB 1x: 100.0% (2 entries -- LS)

MOUNTAIN
MD 1x: 51.3% (794 entries)
MD 2x: 49.4% (749 entries)
MD 3x: 30.8% (6 entries -- LS)
MD 4x: 25.0% (2 entries -- LS)
(No SB data)

SAGU MAULER -- NOT IN DATABASE (no card_id found; card absent from recorded lists)

NYXBORN HYDRA
MD 1x: 49.1% (770 entries)
MD 2x: 52.2% (283 entries)
MD 3x: 50.0% (7 entries -- LS)
SB 1x: 46.2% (20 entries -- LS)
SB 2x: 25.0% (2 entries -- LS)

GIXIAN INFILTRATOR
MD 1x: 25.0% (2 entries -- LS)
MD 2x: 49.9% (229 entries)
MD 3x: 48.8% (141 entries)
MD 4x: 50.9% (163 entries)
SB 1x: 20.0% (1 entry -- LS)
SB 2x: 100.0% (1 entry -- LS)

BOJUKA BOG
MD 1x: 50.2% (880 entries) <-- near-universal
MD 2x: 33.3% (11 entries -- LS)
SB 1x: 38.9% (6 entries -- LS)

AVENGING HUNTER
MD 1x: 44.5% (36 entries)
MD 2x: 52.9% (4 entries -- LS)
MD 4x: null -- 0W/0L recorded (3 entries -- LS)
SB 1x: 53.0% (95 entries)
SB 2x: 58.2% (77 entries) <-- best performing SB slot

FOUNTAIN OF ICHOR -- NOT IN DATABASE (no card_id; absent from recorded lists)

GO FOR THE THROAT (GFTT)
MD 1x: 53.3% (4 entries -- LS)
MD 2x: 63.3% (5 entries -- LS)
SB 1x: 42.9% (25 entries)
SB 2x: 51.3% (40 entries)

GALVANIC BLAST (note: user said "GFTT" but also listed separately -- see above; Galvanic Blast data below)
MD 1x: 50.9% (24 entries)
MD 2x: 54.9% (123 entries) <-- best performing MD count
MD 3x: 47.1% (50 entries)
MD 4x: 48.9% (85 entries)
(No SB data)

DURESS
MD 1x: 52.9% (23 entries)
MD 2x: 46.0% (149 entries)
MD 3x: 47.2% (87 entries)
MD 4x: 46.0% (17 entries -- LS)
SB 1x: 47.8% (114 entries)
SB 2x: 48.3% (306 entries)
SB 3x: 50.6% (716 entries) <-- modal
SB 4x: 54.3% (243 entries) <-- best SB count

WEATHER THE STORM
MD 1x: 23.1% (5 entries -- LS)
MD 2x: 41.2% (5 entries -- LS)
MD 3x: 37.5% (6 entries -- LS)
SB 1x: 14.3% (5 entries -- LS)
SB 2x: 50.2% (70 entries)
SB 3x: 50.3% (794 entries) <-- modal
SB 4x: 50.6% (642 entries)

PYROBLAST
MD 2x: 33.3% (4 entries -- LS)
SB 1x: 52.3% (51 entries)
SB 2x: 50.1% (125 entries)
SB 3x: 50.5% (407 entries)
SB 4x: 50.4% (469 entries) <-- modal

BREATH WEAPON
MD 1x: 44.2% (27 entries)
MD 2x: 27.0% (11 entries -- LS)
MD 3x: 25.0% (3 entries -- LS)
SB 1x: 42.9% (55 entries)
SB 2x: 50.5% (1,183 entries) <-- modal by far
SB 3x: 54.0% (165 entries) <-- best SB count
SB 4x: 49.5% (24 entries -- LS)

OUPHE VANDALS -- NOT IN DATABASE (no card_id; absent from recorded lists)

NOTABLE OBSERVATIONS

The strongest signals with adequate sample sizes:

  • Toxin Analysis MD 3-4x shows a positive trend (57.1% / 61.8%) but the 4x sample is thin (10 entries).
  • Avenging Hunter SB 2x outperforms SB 1x meaningfully (58.2% vs 53.0%, 77 vs 95 entries) -- the most actionable SB finding.
  • Duress SB 4x is the strongest high-sample sideboard result at 54.3% (243 entries).
  • Breath Weapon MD copies correlate with declining WR; it clearly belongs in the SB at 2-3x.
  • Krark-Clan Shaman is near-universally played at MD 3x (1,087 entries, 51.8%) -- deviating from that count underperforms.
  • Lembas MD 3x (53.4%, 131 entries) outperforms the more common MD 2x (51.0%, 1,050 entries).
  • Galvanic Blast MD 2x (54.9%, 123 entries) performs better than 3x or 4x.
  • Mountain 1x (51.3%) vs 2x (49.4%) -- slight advantage to leaner mana bases.
  • Sagu Mauler, Fountain of Ichor, and Ouphe Vandals have no entries in the database and cannot be analyzed.

Sources: Data drawn from 254 Pauper tournaments (49% MELEE, 42% MTGO, 9% Cardsrealm), 1,558 total Jund Midrange entries. Recent events include:
https://www.mtgo.com/decklist/pauper-challenge-32-2026-03-2212836012
https://melee.gg/Decklist/View/ca341786-5c58-4fc1-9382-b41200ccf507
https://melee.gg/Decklist/View/4677838e-f174-4ba7-a497-b414010842d3