Prowess Modern Winrate and Matchup Spread

Here's the full breakdown on Prowess in Modern over the last 2 months:

🔥 Prowess — Modern (Jan 23 – Mar 23, 2026)

Overall Winrate: 50.6% (390W–381L–16D, excl. mirrors)
Meta Presence: 4.53% (6th most played archetype)
Entries: 192 across 91 tournaments

Prowess sits right at parity — a solidly playable deck but not dominating the meta.

⚔️ Matchup Spread vs. Top Archetypes

Matchup	W	L	WR%	Verdict
🟢 Yawgmoth	9	3	75.0%	Favored
🟢 Goryo Reanimator	13	9	59.1%	Favored
🟢 Ruby Storm	27	20	57.5%	Favored
🟢 Jeskai Blink	26	23	53.1%	Slight edge
🟡 Tron	21	21	50.0%	Even
🔴 Domain Zoo	15	16	48.4%	Slight dog
🔴 Living End	6	7	46.2%	Slight dog
🔴 Azorius Control	10	13	43.5%	Unfavored
🔴 Boros Energy	70	96	42.2%	Unfavored
🔴 Affinity	22	32	40.7%	Unfavored
🔴 Amulet Titan	10	15	40.0%	Unfavored

Key Takeaways:

Biggest problem: Boros Energy is the most-played deck AND a bad matchup (42.2%) — this is a significant drag on Prowess's overall WR
Affinity & Amulet Titan are also rough matchups, punishing Prowess's lack of interaction with artifacts/big mana
Storm mirrors favor Prowess — it cleanly beats the other go-fast deck (Ruby Storm)
Yawgmoth (75%!) is a great matchup, likely due to Prowess's speed outpacing the combo setup

Sources: Data from 101 tournaments (70% MTGO, 30% Melee)