I'll analyze top 8 conversion rates for Modern archetypes over the last 60 days, focusing on tournaments with at least 32 players.
Now let me get the overall meta data for the same period to calculate conversion rates:
Now let me get the sources for citations:
Based on my analysis of Modern tournaments with 32+ players over the last 60 days, here are the key findings for top 8 conversion rates:
The most successful archetypes at converting field presence to top 8 appearances are Blue Belcher (46.1% conversion rate), followed by several combo decks. Blue Belcher accounts for 4.96% of the field but 6.72% of top 8 slots, showing exceptional conversion efficiency. Grixis Reanimator also punches above its weight at 4.32% of top 8s from just 4.25% field presence.
Boros Energy, despite being the most popular archetype at 13.95% field share, has a slightly above-average conversion rate at 14.01% of top 8 slots. Tron shows solid conversion from 7.22% field presence to 7.01% top 8 share. Conversely, some popular decks struggle with conversion - Prowess drops from 4.0% field presence to 3.17% top 8 share, and Affinity falls from 3.41% to 3.07%.
The data reveals that combo decks like Blue Belcher, Neobrand, and Goryo Reanimator are particularly effective at converting modest field presence into disproportionate top 8 representation, suggesting these strategies are well-positioned for players comfortable with their execution complexity.
Sources: Data from 111 tournaments: 82.9% MTGO, 17.1% Melee
https://melee.gg/Decklist/View/6f7d76be-4803-4385-95da-b35f00a1a64e
https://www.mtgo.com/decklist/modern-challenge-32-2025-09-2112815144
https://www.mtgo.com/decklist/modern-challenge-64-2025-09-2012815138