I'll analyze Merfolk's performance against the top 10 Modern decks. Let me start by getting the current meta and then calculate the matchup winrates.
Now let me get Merfolk's matchup winrates against each of these top 10 decks:
Matchup Winrates:
Favored (60%+):
• Goryo Reanimator: 66.7% (2-1)
• Esper Blink: 66.7% (2-1)
Even (40-60%):
• Affinity: 50.0% (1-1)
• Domain Zoo: 50.0% (1-1)
Unfavored (<40%):
• Boros Energy: 33.3% (1-2)
Limited Data (≤1 match):
• Amulet Titan: 100% (1-0)
• Tron: 0% (0-1)
• Blue Belcher: 0% (0-1)
• Prowess: 0% (0-1)
• Azorius Control: 0% (0-1)
⚠️ Important Note: Merfolk has very limited tournament representation in this period, with only 19 total matches against the top 10 decks. Sample sizes are too small for reliable statistical conclusions. Most matchups have only 1-3 recorded matches, which means variance plays a huge role in these percentages.
The data suggests potential strengths against grindy decks (Esper Blink, Goryo) and struggles against the most-played deck (Boros Energy), but more tournament data is needed for confident matchup assessment.
Sources:
Data from 5 tournaments: 60% MTGO, 40% Melee