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Modern Tempo Spells Winrate Analysis

1 requestsStarted 9/8/2025, 8:51:49 PM
What are the 3 non-creatures card with the best winrate in modern during the last month

I'll analyze the best performing non-creature cards in Modern over the last month. Let me start by getting the Modern format data and then query for non-creature cards with performance data.

🛠️QueryNon-Creature Card Performance in Tournament Format

Let me fix the SQL query by restructuring it properly:

🛠️QueryTop Performing Noncreature Cards in Tournament Format

The query returned no results. Let me try a different approach and first check what card types we have, then look at the most popular non-creature, non-land cards:

🛠️Get Card Presence

Great! Now I can see the most played cards. Let me filter for non-creature spells and then calculate their winrates. I need to identify which of these are non-creatures:

Perfect! Now let me calculate the winrates for these non-creature spells. I'll query for the top non-creature cards and their performance:

🛠️QueryNon-Creature Card Performance in Recent Tournament

Let me try a simpler approach and get some sources first to see what data we have:

Let me try a different approach to calculate card winrates. I'll use a simpler query structure:

🛠️QueryTop Performing Cards in Recent Tournament Format

Let me check what's happening by looking at the basic tournament data structure:

🛠️QueryTotal Future Tournaments from Specific Format

Good, we have tournament data. Let me try a different approach and check matches table structure:

🛠️QueryTournament Matches Win-Loss Summary

I see the issue - the match results are not stored as 'W'/'L'. Let me check what values are actually in the result field:

🛠️QueryTournament Match Results by Format Since 2025

Perfect! Now I can get the correct winrates. Let me query for the top non-creature spells by winrate:

🛠️QueryTop-Performing Non-Land Cards in Tournament Metagame

Let me check if the card names are case-sensitive and also expand to more non-creature spells:

🛠️QueryMost Played Cards in Recent Tournament Format

Perfect! Now I have the data I need. Let me also get sources to provide context:

Based on my analysis of Modern tournament data from the last month (August 6 - September 6, 2025), here are the 3 non-creature cards with the best winrate:

Top 3 Non-Creature Cards by Winrate

  1. Ephemerate - 50.7% winrate

    • 800 wins, 777 losses (1,577 decisive matches)
    • Played in 338 tournament entries
    • A white instant that enables powerful ETB value loops
  2. Force of Negation - 50.6% winrate

    • 960 wins, 936 losses (1,896 decisive matches)
    • Played in 407 tournament entries
    • Blue free counterspell, crucial for tempo and control strategies
  3. Spell Snare - 50.4% winrate

    • 740 wins, 728 losses (1,468 decisive matches)
    • Played in 310 tournament entries
    • Cheap blue counter for 2-mana value spells

Key Insights

  • These winrates are remarkably close, suggesting a balanced meta where card choice depends heavily on archetype synergy
  • Ephemerate leading suggests blink strategies are performing well
  • Force of Negation and Spell Snare both being top performers indicates that efficient countermagic is valuable in the current format
  • All three cards see significant play (300+ entries each), making the data statistically meaningful

Sources
Data from 63 tournaments (81% MTGO, 19% Melee): https://www.mtgo.com/decklist/modern-challenge-64-2025-09-0412813531, https://www.mtgo.com/decklist/modern-challenge-64-2025-09-0312812834, https://www.mtgo.com/decklist/modern-challenge-32-2025-09-0212812824