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Portent Tron Against Aggro Matchups

1 requestsStarted 10/7/2025, 2:53:55 PM
is there any match up that is better for tron decks that are playing Portent of Calamity rather than more traditional tron decks ?

I'll help you analyze the matchup performance of Tron decks with and without Portent of Calamity. Let me start by searching for the card and getting an overview of Tron archetypes.

Now let me analyze Tron deck performance with and without Portent of Calamity over the last 60 days to get a good sample size.

🛠️QueryDoes Portent Improve Matchup Winrates

Let me fix the SQL query to properly handle the aggregation:

🛠️QueryPortent Card Impact on Match Winrates by Archetype

Now let me get some context on how many Tron players are actually using Portent of Calamity:

🛠️QueryPortent Adoption Rate in Tron Tournament Entries

Let me get tournament sources for this analysis:

Based on my analysis of Tron deck performance over the last 60 days, here are the key findings regarding Portent of Calamity adoption:

Portent of Calamity Adoption in Tron

  • Only 5.6% of Tron players (20 out of 354 entries) are running Portent of Calamity
  • This makes it a very niche tech choice with limited data

Matchups Where Portent Shows Promise

The most notable improvements for Portent Tron appear against:

Significantly Better:

  • Izzet Cutter: 100% vs 28.6% (limited sample: 1 vs 7 matches)
  • Prowess: 80.0% vs 65.1% (+14.9% improvement, 5 vs 48 matches)
  • Boros Energy: 62.5% vs 50.3% (+12.2% improvement, 9 vs 208 matches)
  • Blue Belcher: 60.0% vs 49.2% (+10.8% improvement, 10 vs 129 matches)

Notably Worse:

  • Amulet Titan: 0.0% vs 18.8% (0-6 record with Portent)
  • Dimir Frog: 0.0% vs 63.3% (0-3 record with Portent)
  • Living End: 0.0% vs 77.8% (0-1 record with Portent)

Key Insights

The data suggests Portent of Calamity may help Tron against fast aggro/tempo decks like Prowess and Boros Energy, potentially by providing card selection and free spells to stabilize earlier. However, it appears to struggle against combo decks and ramp strategies where traditional Tron performs better.

Important caveat: The sample size for Portent Tron is very small (20 entries total), so these results should be interpreted cautiously.

Sources

Data from 105 tournaments: 83.8% MTGO, 16.2% Melee. Recent examples: Modern Challenge, 2nd Chance PTQ