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Houston RC Day 1 Archetype Performance Analysis

1 requestsStarted 10/19/2025, 9:27:29 AM
analyse houston rc day 1 results and calculate win percentage matrix of most popular archetypes

I'll analyze the Houston RC Day 1 results and calculate a win percentage matrix for the most popular archetypes. Let me start by finding this tournament and gathering the data.

๐Ÿ› ๏ธQueryHouston RC Tournaments Sorted by Date Descending

Let me search for recent tournaments to see if there's a Houston event:

๐Ÿ› ๏ธQueryFuture Tournaments from October 2025 Onward

I don't see a Houston RC Day 1 event in the recent tournaments. Let me check if there's a tournament with a different naming pattern or look at what's available around the Regional Championship timeframe:

๐Ÿ› ๏ธQueryRegional Championship Tournaments in Fall 2025

I found a "Regional Championship - T10" on October 11, 2025 with 114 entries. This might be what you're looking for. Let me analyze this tournament and create the win percentage matrix for the most popular archetypes:

๐Ÿ› ๏ธQueryMost Popular Tournament Archetypes Ranking

Now let me calculate the matchup win percentage matrix for the top archetypes:

๐Ÿ› ๏ธQueryTop Archetypes Matchup Performance Analysis

Let me check if there's match data for this tournament:

๐Ÿ› ๏ธQueryTotal Matches in Specific Tournament

Good, there is match data. Let me recalculate with a corrected query:

๐Ÿ› ๏ธQueryTop Archetypes Matchup Performance Analysis

Let me check if the match data has opponent_entry_id properly populated:

๐Ÿ› ๏ธQueryTournament Match Results by Archetype

Great! The data is there. Let me fix the query - I see the result field uses "WIN", "LOSS", "DRAW" (full words, not single letters):

๐Ÿ› ๏ธQueryTop Archetypes Matchup Win Percentages

Perfect! Now let me get overall statistics for each archetype:

๐Ÿ› ๏ธQueryTop Archetypes by Tournament Performance

Excellent! Now let me get the tournament details for the sources section:

๐Ÿ› ๏ธQueryTournament Details with Total Entries Count

Perfect! Now I have all the data I need. Let me create a comprehensive analysis of the Regional Championship - T10 (which may be the Houston RC you're referring to, though it's not explicitly named "Houston" in the database):

Regional Championship - T10 Analysis (October 11, 2025)

Tournament Overview

114 players competed in this Modern Regional Championship. Here are the top 10 archetypes by popularity and overall performance:

ArchetypeEntriesMeta %Overall W/LWin Rate
Boros Energy1210.5%24-43-335.8%
Affinity1210.5%40-37-451.9%
Prowess119.6%36-34-251.4%
Esper Blink119.6%30-38-644.1%
Tron97.9%35-28-355.6%
Goryo Reanimator87.0%24-20-454.5%
Blue Belcher87.0%18-30-137.5%
Azorius Control76.1%16-23-641.0%
Domain Zoo54.4%22-12-264.7%
Broodscale43.5%14-11-456.0%

Key Insights:

  • Domain Zoo had the highest win rate (64.7%) despite only 5 entriesโ€”a strong underdog performance
  • Tron was the best-performing major deck (55.6% WR with 9 entries)
  • Boros Energy severely underperformed with only 35.8% WR despite being tied for most popular
  • Blue Belcher also struggled at 37.5% WR

Matchup Win Percentage Matrix (Non-Mirror, Top 10 Archetypes)

Archetype โ†“ vs Opponent โ†’AffinityAzor CtrlBlue BelcherBoros EnergyBroodscaleDom ZooEsper BlinkGoryoProwessTron
Affinity-75.0%50.0%62.5%0.0%50.0%61.5%100%28.6%33.3%
Azorius Control25.0%-100%40.0%0.0%0.0%100%0.0%0.0%50.0%
Blue Belcher50.0%0.0%-100%50.0%0.0%33.3%60.0%14.3%28.6%
Boros Energy37.5%60.0%0.0%-0.0%0.0%40.0%16.7%50.0%25.0%
Broodscale100%100%50.0%100%-0.0%0.0%100%66.7%100%
Domain Zoo50.0%100%100%100%100%-40.0%50.0%50.0%100%
Esper Blink38.5%0.0%66.7%60.0%100%60.0%-0.0%50.0%33.3%
Goryo Reanimator0.0%100%40.0%83.3%0.0%50.0%100%-83.3%0.0%
Prowess71.4%100%85.7%50.0%33.3%50.0%50.0%16.7%-55.6%
Tron66.7%50.0%71.4%75.0%0.0%0.0%66.7%100%44.4%-

(Percentages shown are win rate excluding draws; small sample sizes in some matchups)

Notable Matchups:

  • Affinity crushed Goryo Reanimator (5-0, 100%)
  • Domain Zoo dominated Boros Energy (4-0), Blue Belcher (3-0), and Tron (3-0)
  • Prowess excelled vs combo/control: 100% vs Azorius Control, 85.7% vs Blue Belcher
  • Tron favorable vs aggro: 75% vs Boros Energy, 66.7% vs Affinity
  • Boros Energy struggled broadly with 0% win rates vs Domain Zoo, Blue Belcher, and Broodscale

Sources:

Data from 1 tournament: 100% Melee. Tournament link: https://melee.gg/Decklist/View/ab216c74-a716-401c-b2ac-b37300478489