Now I have the top 10 archetypes. Let me pull the head-to-head matchup winrates for each pair among the top archetypes. I'll start with the most important matchups involving the top 5 archetypes.
Here is the full Modern matchup matrix for the top 10 archetypes, covering the last 60 days (May 28 - Jul 28, 2026). Confidence intervals are 95% Wilson score intervals, which handle small sample sizes better than a naive normal approximation. Winrates are from the row archetype's perspective; mirror matches are excluded.
MODERN MATCHUP MATRIX -- Top 10 Archetypes (60 days, mirrors excluded)
Row archetype WR% vs column archetype | 95% CI | N decisive matches
Abbreviations:
BorE = Boros Energy | Aff = Affinity | GRei = Goryo Reanimator
Prow = Prowess | Brd = Broodscale | Tron = Tron
AzC = Azorius Control | RStm = Ruby Storm | AmT = Amulet Titan | GxRei = Grixis Reanimator
BOROS ENERGY (10.3% meta share, 50.1% overall WR)
vs Affinity: 54.7% [48.4 - 61.0] n=243
vs Goryo Rei: 41.8% [33.9 - 50.0] n=158
vs Prowess: 36.8% [28.7 - 45.5] n=136
vs Broodscale: 53.5% [44.5 - 62.4] n=127
vs Tron: 59.4% [50.5 - 67.7] n=128
vs Azorius Control: 49.1% [39.7 - 58.6] n=112
vs Ruby Storm: 52.3% [41.5 - 62.9] n=88
vs Amulet Titan: 46.9% [36.9 - 57.0] n=96
vs Grixis Rei: 34.6% [24.5 - 46.0] n=81
AFFINITY (9.0% meta share, 50.6% overall WR)
vs Boros Energy: 45.3% [39.0 - 51.6] n=243
vs Goryo Rei: 58.1% [49.5 - 66.2] n=136
vs Prowess: 57.9% [48.5 - 66.7] n=114
vs Broodscale: 34.0% [26.3 - 42.7] n=144
vs Tron: 50.0% [40.5 - 59.5] n=110
vs Azorius Control: 56.0% [44.5 - 66.9] n=75
vs Ruby Storm: 34.2% [24.1 - 45.8] n=76
vs Amulet Titan: 53.2% [40.5 - 65.6] n=62
vs Grixis Rei: 61.1% [47.4 - 73.4] n=54
GORYO REANIMATOR (7.2% meta share, 48.9% overall WR)
vs Boros Energy: 58.2% [50.0 - 66.1] n=158
vs Affinity: 41.9% [33.8 - 50.5] n=136
vs Prowess: 54.0% [44.1 - 63.6] n=100
vs Broodscale: 47.2% [38.2 - 56.2] n=123
vs Tron: 43.2% [33.3 - 53.4] n=95
vs Azorius Control: 49.3% [38.0 - 60.7] n=73
vs Ruby Storm: 61.7% [48.7 - 73.3] n=60
vs Amulet Titan: 50.0% [36.3 - 63.7] n=50
vs Grixis Rei: 43.5% [29.8 - 58.0] n=46
PROWESS (6.4% meta share, 51.2% overall WR)
vs Boros Energy: 63.2% [54.5 - 71.3] n=136
vs Affinity: 42.1% [33.3 - 51.5] n=114
vs Goryo Rei: 46.0% [36.4 - 55.9] n=100
vs Broodscale: 50.0% [38.5 - 61.5] n=74
vs Tron: 32.1% [22.5 - 43.3] n=78
vs Azorius Control: 61.3% [49.7 - 72.0] n=75
vs Ruby Storm: 61.2% [47.2 - 73.7] n=49
vs Amulet Titan: 54.9% [41.0 - 68.2] n=51
vs Grixis Rei: 45.2% [33.1 - 57.7] n=62
BROODSCALE (6.3% meta share, 54.0% overall WR)
vs Boros Energy: 46.5% [37.6 - 55.5] n=127
vs Affinity: 66.0% [57.3 - 73.8] n=144
vs Goryo Rei: 52.8% [43.8 - 61.8] n=123
vs Prowess: 50.0% [38.5 - 61.5] n=74
vs Tron: 57.9% [47.7 - 67.5] n=95
vs Azorius Control: 49.2% [36.4 - 62.0] n=59
vs Ruby Storm: 41.7% [30.0 - 54.3] n=60
vs Amulet Titan: 35.2% [25.0 - 46.9] n=71
vs Grixis Rei: 54.0% [40.4 - 67.1] n=50
TRON (6.0% meta share, 48.9% overall WR)
vs Boros Energy: 40.6% [32.3 - 49.5] n=128
vs Affinity: 50.0% [40.5 - 59.5] n=110
vs Goryo Rei: 56.8% [46.6 - 66.6] n=95
vs Prowess: 67.9% [56.7 - 77.5] n=78
vs Broodscale: 42.1% [32.5 - 52.3] n=95
vs Azorius Control: 44.7% [33.7 - 56.2] n=76
vs Ruby Storm: 62.1% [48.8 - 73.9] n=58
vs Amulet Titan: 27.8% [16.9 - 41.6] n=54
vs Grixis Rei: 46.5% [32.0 - 61.5] n=43
AZORIUS CONTROL (4.7% meta share, 50.9% overall WR)
vs Boros Energy: 50.9% [41.4 - 60.3] n=112
vs Affinity: 44.0% [33.1 - 55.5] n=75
vs Goryo Rei: 50.7% [39.3 - 62.0] n=73
vs Prowess: 38.7% [28.0 - 50.3] n=75
vs Broodscale: 50.8% [38.0 - 63.6] n=59
vs Tron: 55.3% [43.8 - 66.3] n=76
vs Ruby Storm: 75.6% [61.5 - 85.7] n=45 *
vs Amulet Titan: 50.0% [34.2 - 65.8] n=36
vs Grixis Rei: 41.7% [28.6 - 56.0] n=48
RUBY STORM (4.1% meta share, 49.6% overall WR)
vs Boros Energy: 47.7% [37.1 - 58.5] n=88
vs Affinity: 65.8% [54.2 - 75.8] n=76
vs Goryo Rei: 38.3% [26.7 - 51.3] n=60
vs Prowess: 38.8% [26.3 - 52.8] n=49
vs Broodscale: 58.3% [45.7 - 70.0] n=60
vs Tron: 37.9% [26.1 - 51.3] n=58
vs Azorius Control: 24.4% [14.3 - 38.5] n=45 *
vs Amulet Titan: 41.2% [25.5 - 58.8] n=34
vs Grixis Rei: 36.0% [19.4 - 56.1] n=25 (low n)
AMULET TITAN (3.9% meta share, 52.2% overall WR)
vs Boros Energy: 53.1% [43.0 - 63.0] n=96
vs Affinity: 46.8% [34.4 - 59.5] n=62
vs Goryo Rei: 50.0% [36.3 - 63.7] n=50
vs Prowess: 45.1% [31.8 - 59.0] n=51
vs Broodscale: 64.8% [53.1 - 75.0] n=71
vs Tron: 72.2% [58.4 - 83.1] n=54 *
vs Azorius Control: 50.0% [34.2 - 65.8] n=36
vs Ruby Storm: 58.8% [41.2 - 74.5] n=34
vs Grixis Rei: 50.0% [31.9 - 68.1] n=28 (low n)
GRIXIS REANIMATOR (3.6% meta share, 51.1% overall WR)
vs Boros Energy: 65.4% [54.0 - 75.4] n=81
vs Affinity: 38.9% [26.6 - 52.6] n=54
vs Goryo Rei: 56.5% [42.0 - 70.2] n=46
vs Prowess: 54.8% [42.3 - 67.0] n=62
vs Broodscale: 46.0% [32.9 - 59.5] n=50
vs Tron: 53.5% [38.5 - 67.9] n=43
vs Azorius Control: 58.3% [45.0 - 70.5] n=48 *
vs Ruby Storm: 64.0% [43.9 - 80.5] n=25 (low n)
vs Amulet Titan: 50.0% [31.9 - 68.1] n=28 (low n)
NOTABLE TAKEAWAYS
Strongest lopsided matchups (65%+ WR, n>=45):
Most even matchups (within 48-52%, CI crosses 50%):
Low-n caution (n<30, treat as directional only):
Sources: Data from 170 Modern tournaments (May 28 - Jul 28, 2026): 63% MTGO, 37% Melee.
Recent events sampled: