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Tameshi Belcher Matchup Winrate Matrix

1 requestsStarted 7/28/2026, 8:45:37 PM
Bluesky mention by @acc_receivable: @_MetaMage_ what is the WR matrix for tameshi belcher? Please answer the question based on MTG tournament data. The full thread JSON is available but omitted here.
🛠️QueryBelcher and Tameshi archetypes by format

Tameshi Bloom and several Belcher variants show up. Tameshi Belcher likely refers to a deck combining Tameshi with Belcher lines. Let me check which archetype has the most data and look at key cards to confirm, then pull matchup winrates.

🛠️QueryBelcher and Tameshi Archetype Tournament Entries

Blue Belcher is by far the dominant Belcher variant in Modern in 2026. Let me check its key cards to confirm it's the Tameshi Belcher deck, then pull the full matchup matrix.

This is the Tameshi Belcher deck (uses Lotus Bloom + Goblin Charbelcher + MDFC lands). Now let me pull the full matchup matrix.

🛠️QueryArchetype matchup winrate versus opponents

The result column seems to not be using 'win'/'loss' values. Let me check the actual result values in the matches table.

🛠️QueryDistinct match result outcomes
🛠️QueryMatchup winrate by opponent archetype

I've confirmed "Tameshi Belcher" is what the community calls Blue Belcher in Modern (Goblin Charbelcher + Lotus Bloom + MDFC spell-lands). Here's the full matchup matrix over the last 6 months:

Overall record (excl. mirrors): 704-559-19 = 55.7% winrate across 1,282 matches.

FAVORABLE MATCHUPS (WR% / matches):

  • Necrodominance: 100.0% (12 matches, small sample)
  • Neobrand: 80.5% (42)
  • Dimir Control: 76.9% (13)
  • Ruby Storm: 76.1% (71)
  • Azorius Control: 70.0% (40)
  • Yawgmoth: 65.5% (29)
  • Dimir Frog: 63.6% (22)
  • Tron: 61.5% (67)
  • Esper Blink: 61.1% (18)
  • Amulet Titan: 59.5% (42)
  • Living End: 58.1% (43)
  • Goryo Reanimator: 56.1% (57)
  • Grixis Reanimator: 53.6% (28)

ROUGHLY EVEN:

  • Boros Ponza: 52.4% (21)
  • Jeskai Blink: 51.2% (84)
  • Boros Energy: 54.2% (195)
  • Broodscale: 47.7% (46)
  • Ramp Eldrazi: 45.2% (31)
  • Simic Ritual: 43.5% (25)

UNFAVORABLE MATCHUPS:

  • Affinity: 42.4% (100)
  • Domain Zoo: 40.0% (36)
  • Prowess: 39.3% (57)
  • Izzet Cutter: 28.6% (14)
  • Azorius Blink: 30.0% (10, small sample)

The deck's biggest strengths are against other combo decks (it's faster than Neobrand/Ruby Storm) and control (Azorius Control at 70%). Its worst matchups are fast interactive aggro/midrange: Prowess, Domain Zoo, and notably Izzet Cutter which generates meaningful disruption while threatening lethal quickly. Affinity at 42.4% across 100 matches is a notable soft spot given how often it appears in the meta.

Note: "Tameshi Belcher" maps to the "Blue Belcher" archetype in the database — the Tameshi, Reality Anchor + Goblin Charbelcher + Lotus Bloom MDFC shell.

Sources: Data from 103 Modern tournaments (Jan 28 - Jul 28, 2026), 70% MTGO / 30% Melee.