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Domain Zoo Fable Winrate Comparison

1 requestsStarted 9/12/2025, 2:46:48 PM
what is the winrate of zoo list without fable of the mirror breaker since the last extension ? compare with winrate of zoo list with fable of the mirror breaker, included confidence interval

I'll help you analyze the winrate of Zoo decks with and without Fable of the Mirror-Breaker since the last set release. Let me gather the necessary data.

The last set release was Edge of Eternities on August 1, 2025. Let me search for Zoo archetypes and Fable of the Mirror-Breaker.

Let me try searching for Domain Zoo, which is the more common Zoo variant in Modern:

Now let me query the database to compare winrates of Domain Zoo decks with and without Fable since August 1, 2025:

🛠️QueryFable Impact on Zoo Deck Tournament Performance

Let me also get tournament sources to support this analysis:

Domain Zoo Winrates: With vs Without Fable of the Mirror-Breaker

Since Edge of Eternities release (August 1, 2025):

Without Fable of the Mirror-Breaker:

  • Winrate: 55.67% (54-43 record, 4 draws)
  • Sample size: 16 entries
  • 95% Confidence Interval: 45.78% - 65.56%

With Fable of the Mirror-Breaker:

  • Winrate: 48.56% (304-322 record, 27 draws)
  • Sample size: 138 entries
  • 95% Confidence Interval: 44.64% - 52.48%

Key Findings:

  • Domain Zoo lists without Fable show a 7.11 percentage point higher winrate
  • However, the confidence intervals overlap significantly, suggesting the difference may not be statistically significant
  • The sample size for non-Fable lists is much smaller (16 vs 138 entries)
  • Most Domain Zoo players (89.6%) are still running Fable in their main deck

Statistical Note: The wide confidence interval for the non-Fable builds (±9.89 percentage points) reflects the small sample size, making it difficult to draw definitive conclusions about the superiority of either approach.

Sources:
Data from 63 tournaments since August 1st: 81% MTGO, 19% Melee. Recent tournaments include https://www.mtgo.com/decklist/modern-challenge-32-2025-09-0712813574, https://www.mtgo.com/decklist/modern-challenge-64-2025-09-0612813564, and https://www.mtgo.com/decklist/modern-challenge-32-2025-09-0612813557.