← Back to Sessions

Jeskai Midrange Crushes Simic Cub Matchup

1 requestsStarted 1/29/2026, 7:07:02 PM
what is the low play rate, but seemingly consistent high win rate into the top decks of the standard meta right now? Look only at results from the past 2 weeks

I'll analyze the Standard meta from the past 2 weeks to find low play rate decks with high win rates against top archetypes.

🛠️Get Meta Report

Now let me check the matchup win rates for the low-play, high-winrate decks against the top meta decks:

Let me also check the lower play rate decks:

Based on the data from the past 2 weeks (Jan 15-29), here are the low play rate decks with strong performance against the top meta:

Jeskai Midrange (0.95% meta share)

Overall: 56.3% winrate | 20 entries across 11 tournaments

Matchups vs Top Decks:

  • vs Simic Cub (#2): 83.3% (20-4) - Dominant matchup
  • vs Izzet Lessons (#1): 53.9% (7-6)
  • vs Reanimator (#3): 45.0% (9-11)

This is the standout underplayed deck, absolutely crushing Simic Cub (the #2 deck) with an 83% winrate on 24 matches.

Bant Airbending Combo (6.28% meta share)

Overall: 57.2% winrate | 129 entries

While not super low play rate, it's underrepresented for its performance:

  • vs Reanimator (#3): 64.1% (59-33) - Heavily favored
  • vs Simic Cub (#2): 54.7% (64-53)
  • vs Izzet Lessons (#1): 48.9% (67-70) - Slightly unfavored

Landfall (5.57% meta share)

Overall: 56.7% winrate | 121 entries

Strong into specific matchups:

  • vs Reanimator (#3): 62.7% (42-25)
  • vs Izzet Lessons (#1): 57.1% (64-48)
  • vs Simic Cub (#2): 40.7% (37-54) - Weak spot

Key Insight: Jeskai Midrange is flying under the radar at less than 1% of the meta but has the best performance against Simic Cub, which is 14.5% of the field. This makes it an excellent metagame choice.

Sources: Data from 41 tournaments (65.9% Melee, 34.1% MTGO). Recent events: Standard Challenge 32, ReCQ Portland