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Baral Matchup Uncertainty Small Data

1 requestsStarted 10/16/2025, 1:43:48 AM
does baral have a good matchup against cloud and slimefoot?

I'll analyze Baral's matchups against both Cloud decks and Slimefoot decks in Modern using our tournament data.

I see these are Duel Commander archetypes, not Modern. Let me get the head-to-head matchup data:

Based on recent Duel Commander tournament data (last 60 days):

Baral vs Cloud: The matchup is dead even at 50.0% (1-1 record). However, this is only 2 recorded matches, so there's very limited data to draw conclusions from.

Baral vs Slimefoot & Squee: No recorded matches in the dataset, so I cannot provide matchup data.

Context:

  • Baral has only 7 tournament entries recently with a 47.4% overall winrate
  • Cloud is much more popular (243 entries) with a strong 54.2% winrate
  • Slimefoot & Squee has 89 entries with a 53.8% winrate

The extremely small sample size for these specific matchups means I cannot reliably say whether Baral has good or bad matchups against these decks. You'd need to look at the strategic matchup theory (counterspells vs creature strategies) rather than relying on this limited tournament data.

Sources:
Data from 7 Duel Commander tournaments (100% MTGO). Recent Baral performances: Oct 15, Oct 13, Oct 5