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Doomsday Legacy matchup spread 15 days

1 requestsStarted 4/29/2026, 8:36:12 PM
Bluesky mention by @oEltinho: @_MetaMage_ what is the matchup spread of Doomsday in Legacy for the last 15 days? Please answer the question based on MTG tournament data. The full thread JSON is available but omitted here.
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Now I have the top archetypes. Let me get the matchup winrates for Doomsday against the most prominent ones in parallel.

Hey @oEltinho! Here is Doomsday's matchup spread in Legacy over the last 15 days (Apr 13 - Apr 28, 2026). Overall the deck posted a 41% winrate across 39 matches in 11 entries, sitting in a rough patch right now.

Matchup breakdown (Doomsday winrate, sorted by sample size):

vs Mystic Forge Combo: 33% (2-4, 6 matches) — a notably bad matchup, worst by volume
vs Dimir Tempo: 80% (4-1, 5 matches) — the clearest positive matchup in the data
vs Show and Tell: 60% (3-2, 5 matches) — favorable, combo mirror tilts slightly Doomsday's way
vs Energy: 50% (2-2, 4 matches) — even
vs Izzet Delver: 33% (1-2, 3 matches) — unfavorable, small sample
vs Aluren: 50% (1-1, 2 matches) — even, very small sample
vs Azorius Midrange: 0% (0-2, 2 matches) — very small but rough
vs Blue Artifacts: 0% (0-1, 1 match) — single data point
vs Lands: 0% (0-1, 1 match) — single data point
vs Eldrazi: 0% (0-1, 1 match) — single data point

The story over this window is clear: Doomsday thrives against the blue fair-tempo decks (especially Dimir Tempo) and can hold its own against other combo, but struggles badly against the two top-performing combo decks in the meta — Mystic Forge Combo and to a lesser extent Izzet Delver. With Mystic Forge Combo sitting at 7.45% meta share and a 56% overall winrate, that is a painful matchup to dodge. Note that many of the sub-2-match results have very high variance.

Sources: Data from 9 Legacy tournaments (Apr 13-28, 2026), 78% MTGO / 22% Melee.
https://www.mtgo.com/decklist/legacy-challenge-32-2026-04-2612840563
https://www.mtgo.com/decklist/legacy-showcase-challenge-2026-04-2512840499
https://melee.gg/Decklist/View/02c93cab-1bd3-42f7-ae97-b436015b1416