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Cloud worst matchups Duel Commander

1 requestsStarted 7/29/2026, 4:10:35 PM
Bluesky mention by @turko_: @_MetaMage_ what is the lowests winning rates of Cloud matchups in Duel Commander? Please answer the question based on MTG tournament data. The full thread JSON is available but omitted here.

Good, Cloud is found in Duel Commander. Now let me get the meta report to find top archetypes, and then pull matchup winrates against the most common opponents.

🛠️Get Meta Report

Now let me pull all matchup winrates for Cloud vs the top archetypes simultaneously.

Here is the full Cloud matchup breakdown across the top Duel Commander archetypes over the last 60 days, sorted from worst to best winrate:

Worst matchups for Cloud:

  • Atraxa: 27.3% (3W-8L, 11 matches) — clear bad matchup
  • Ertai Resurrected: 28.6% (2W-5L, 7 decisive matches)
  • Quintorius: 35.7% (10W-18L, 28 matches) — large sample, genuinely problematic
  • Lumra: 36.8% (7W-12L, 19 decisive matches)
  • Yoshimaru: 38.5% (5W-8L, 13 matches)
  • Aragorn: 42.9% (6W-8L, 14 decisive matches)
  • The Fantasticar: 42.9% (3W-4L, only 7 matches — low sample)
  • Spider-Man 2099: 44.8% (30W-37L, 67 matches) — largest sample, meaningful negative result

Roughly even matchups (45–55%):

  • Glarb: 50.0%, Satya: 50.0%, Phelia: 52.9%, Emry: 53.3%, Nick Fury: 53.8%

Favored matchups:

  • Tasigur: 62.5%, Terra: 60.0%, Tifa Lockhart: 57.1%, Light-Paws: 70.0%, Slimefoot & Squee: 72.7%, Deadpool: 77.8%

The two most notable problem matchups are Atraxa (27.3%) and Quintorius (35.7%). The Quintorius result is especially significant given its 28-match sample size. Spider-Man 2099 also drags on Cloud at 44.8% across a large 67-match sample, which is meaningful given how dominant Spider-Man 2099 is in the meta (15.8% presence). Overall, Cloud sits at 51.7% across all matchups, meaning the format is roughly even for the archetype, but it has clear pockets of struggle in the control and value-engine decks.

Sources: Data from 10 Duel Commander tournaments (May 28 – Jul 28, 2026), 90% Melee, 10% MTGO.