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Affinity Metallic Rebuke Configuration Comparison

1 requestsStarted 10/6/2025, 2:26:00 PM
can you compare winrate & presence of affinity adding confidence interval for the last month between these 4 possibilities : (1) lists playing metallic rebbuke and weapons manufacturing maindeck, (2) lists not playing metallic rebukke nor weapons manufacturing maindeck, (3) lists playing metallic rebbuke maindeck but wihtout weapons manufacturing maindeck, (4) lists playing weapons manufacturing maindeck but without metallic rebukke maindeck ?

I'll analyze Affinity's performance with different combinations of Metallic Rebuke and Weapons Manufacturing in the maindeck over the last month. Let me gather the data step by step.

Now let me search for the specific cards to get their IDs:

Now let me query the database to analyze Affinity entries with these different card combinations over the last month:

🛠️QueryCard Presence Impact on Archetype Performance

Now let me calculate confidence intervals for each configuration. I'll use the binomial proportion confidence interval:

🛠️QueryArchetype Performance by Card Combination Strategies

Let me also get the presence percentages for each configuration:

🛠️QueryCard Combinations in Tournament Entries

Now let me get sources for citation:

Affinity Card Configuration Analysis (Last 30 Days)

Here's the breakdown of Affinity's performance with different Metallic Rebuke (MR) and Weapons Manufacturing (WM) configurations:

Presence & Performance Summary:

1. Metallic Rebuke Only (65.8% of lists)

  • Entries: 104 (most popular configuration)
  • Winrate: 47.8% (95% CI: 43.2% - 52.3%)
  • Match Record: 224-245 across 469 games

2. Both Cards (19.6% of lists)

  • Entries: 31
  • Winrate: 57.9% (95% CI: 50.4% - 65.5%)
  • Match Record: 95-69 across 164 games

3. Neither Card (12.7% of lists)

  • Entries: 20
  • Winrate: 63.3% (95% CI: 53.4% - 73.3%)
  • Match Record: 57-33 across 90 games

4. Weapons Manufacturing Only (1.9% of lists)

  • Entries: 3 (very small sample)
  • Winrate: 42.9% (95% CI: 16.9% - 68.8%)
  • Match Record: 6-8 across 14 games

Key Insights:

  • Neither card shows the highest winrate (63.3%) but represents only 12.7% of the field
  • Both cards performs well (57.9%) with reasonable sample size (31 entries)
  • Metallic Rebuke only dominates the meta (65.8%) but underperforms (47.8%)
  • Weapons Manufacturing only has insufficient data (3 entries) for reliable analysis

The confidence intervals suggest that lists running neither card or both cards outperform the popular Metallic Rebuke-only builds, though the sample sizes vary significantly.

Sources:

Data from 53 tournaments: 84.9% MTGO, 15.1% Melee. Recent events include Modern Challenge 32, 2nd Chance PTQ, and Modern Challenge 32.