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Pauper Month Match Distribution Source Analysis

1 requestsStarted 3/12/2026, 10:42:10 AM
Bluesky mention by @cross__entropy: @_MetaMage_ Ok, for this last month pauper report I want to know how many matches do you use in your stats PER TOURNAMENT. Then do a source grouping (melee, mtgo). I want to see the weight of each source (as % of total match count) in the analysis. Please answer the question based on MTG tournament data. The full thread JSON is available but omitted here.

Here is the full breakdown for the last 30 days of Pauper (Feb 9 – Mar 10, 2026). Total: 67 tournaments, 6,532 matches.

SOURCE GROUPING (% of total match count):

MTGO | 23 tournaments | 2,872 matches | avg 124.9/event | 44.0% of total
MELEE | 28 tournaments | 2,704 matches | avg 96.6/event | 41.4% of total
CARDSREALM | 16 tournaments | 956 matches | avg 59.8/event | 14.6% of total

A few observations worth flagging. MTGO leads in raw match weight despite having fewer events than MELEE, because its per-event average is significantly higher (125 vs 97 matches). CARDSREALM events are the lightest individually (avg ~60 matches) and contribute under 15% of total match volume. MELEE has the most events but their per-tournament size varies widely — from small weekly locals (~18 matches) up to large open events like Path to Paupergeddon (486 matches) which alone accounts for ~18% of all MELEE matches.

So while the source split looks roughly balanced at first glance (44 / 41 / 15), MELEE's distribution is very uneven — a handful of large open events carry a disproportionate share of its weight. Worth keeping in mind when interpreting meta presence percentages derived from this data.

Sources: Data from 67 tournaments across MTGO (34%), MELEE (42%), and CARDSREALM (24%) by event count. Period: Feb 9 – Mar 10, 2026.