I'll analyze Affinity's performance against decks running Wrath of the Skies in the maindeck. Let me start by gathering the necessary data.
Now I'll query the database to find Affinity's performance against decks that run Wrath of the Skies in their maindeck over the last 60 days.
The query shows matches but no wins/losses recorded. Let me check if the match results are stored differently or if there's an issue with the data.
I see the issue - the results are stored as "WIN", "LOSS", "DRAW" rather than "W", "L", "D". Let me correct the query.
Perfect! Now let me get some sources for this analysis.
Based on the tournament data from the last 60 days, Affinity has a significantly lower win rate against decks running Wrath of the Skies in the maindeck. Against opponents with Wrath of the Skies, Affinity wins only 39.0% of games (16-25 record, excluding draws), compared to a 48.0% win rate against decks without Wrath of the Skies (242-262 record).
This 9 percentage point difference represents a substantial matchup disadvantage for Affinity. The sample includes 44 matches against Wrath decks versus 540 matches against non-Wrath decks, providing a reasonable data set for the Wrath matchup analysis.
The performance gap makes tactical sense given Wrath of the Skies' design as a scalable board wipe that can efficiently clear Affinity's artifact creatures while potentially generating energy value for the opponent.
Sources
Data from 81 tournaments: 86.4% MTGO, 13.6% Melee. Recent tournament coverage includes:
https://www.mtgo.com/decklist/modern-challenge-32-2025-09-1512814298
https://www.mtgo.com/decklist/modern-showcase-challenge-2025-09-1412814234
https://www.mtgo.com/decklist/modern-challenge-32-2025-09-1412814287