I'll analyze the win rate for Affinity decks with and without Memnite and Ornithopter in Modern format over the past 60 days.
Now I'll query the database to compare win rates for Affinity decks with and without these specific cards:
Based on the data from 135 Affinity entries over the past 60 days, lists running neither Memnite nor Ornithopter have the highest win rate at 50.0% (25 entries), while lists running both cards achieved 46.6% (106 entries). The sample size for other configurations is too small to draw meaningful conclusions, with only 3 entries running Ornithopter alone (33.3%) and 1 entry with Memnite only (66.7%).
The majority of Affinity players (78.5%) are running both zero-cost creatures, but the data suggests that builds without these cards perform slightly better. This could indicate that the current metagame favors Affinity builds that focus on other synergies rather than the traditional zero-cost creature package.
However, the sample size difference is significant - builds with both cards represent 106 entries versus 25 for neither, so the statistical confidence varies considerably between these groups.
Sources: Data from 81 tournaments (86% MTGO, 14% Melee). Recent tournaments include Modern Challenge events and Showcase Challenges:
https://www.mtgo.com/decklist/modern-challenge-32-2025-09-1512814298
https://www.mtgo.com/decklist/modern-showcase-challenge-2025-09-1412814234
https://www.mtgo.com/decklist/modern-challenge-32-2025-09-1412814287