I need to check recent meta trends across major formats to answer whether the meta is stabilizing or heading for change.
Now let me check trends for the top archetypes to see if diversity is increasing or decreasing:
The meta shows signs of stabilizing, not disruption. Modern has healthy diversity with 15 archetypes seeing 2%+ play and no single deck dominating. Boros Energy leads at just 15.7% presence with a fair 49.2% winrate, while the top 5 decks are all tightly clustered between 48-52% winrate. Modern archetype diversity is strong with 44-54 unique archetypes appearing in recent larger tournaments. Pioneer is even more balanced, with Izzet Prowess at 29.4% but dropping from its 39% peak in early January back toward the field.
The last major meta shakeup was December 16, 2024, when Modern saw The One Ring, Amped Raptor, and Jegantha banned alongside four unbannings. We're now over a year removed from that change, and the format has settled into a diverse equilibrium. No new bans are scheduled, and the most recent set releases (Edge of Eternities in August 2025, Final Fantasy in June 2025) have added options without creating format-warping threats. The data suggests this stability should continue unless a new set introduces a breakout card.
Sources: Data from 25 Modern tournaments between January 15-29, 2026: 76% MTGO, 24% Melee.
https://melee.gg/Decklist/View/44baea7f-12f0-4fce-a1c2-b3dd0143e968
https://melee.gg/Decklist/View/ca9e67b4-6000-4d62-8c29-b3dd011ace14
https://www.mtgo.com/decklist/modern-challenge-32-2026-01-2512830659