I don't see "Jund Wildfires" in the meta report. Let me search for it more broadly in the database.
"Jund Wildfires" likely maps to "Jund Ponza" in the database. Let me look at what cards define these lists to confirm, and also check the archetype's card composition.
Jund Ponza has very few recent entries and no card data. Let me search more broadly for what "Jund Wildfires" might be in the database — it could be a different archetype name entirely.
I don't see "Jund Wildfires" as an archetype in the database at all. The closest Jund archetypes with significant entries are "jund midrange" (836 entries) and "jund graveyard" (99). Let me check if the user might be referring to "jund midrange" which sometimes runs Wildfire-style land destruction, or check what key cards appear in those lists.
Now I can see it clearly. "Jund Midrange" in Pauper is the "Jund Wildfires" deck — it features Cleansing Wildfire as a key card. This is the deck. Let me now pull the sideboard cards and run the per-copy winrate analysis the user wants.
Now I have enough data. Let me run per-copy-count winrate splits for the most important cards across main and side.
Here is the full breakdown. Note: "Jund Wildfires" is tagged in the database as "Jund Midrange" — the defining card of the archetype is Cleansing Wildfire, which appears in 99% of all lists. Overall winrate (excl. mirror) is 50.97% across 172 entries and 719 matches in the Jan 10 - Mar 11 window.
MAINDECK — Card Winrates by Copy Count (min. ~4+ entries noted; small samples flagged)
CORE PACKAGE (near-universal, usually played at 4):
Writhing Chrysalis (100% presence, played at 4): 4 copies — 50.9% (172 entries)
Cleansing Wildfire (99% presence, played at 4): 4 copies — 50.7% (171 entries); 0 copies — 100% (1 entry, tiny sample, ignore)
Fanatical Offering (99% presence): 4 copies — 51.4% (138), 3 copies — 49.7% (32), 2 copies — 50.0% (1, trivial)
Ichor Wellspring (99% presence): 4 copies — 50.7% (131), 3 copies — 60.0% (12 entries — notable but moderate sample), 2 copies — 55.6% (5), 1 copy — 46.2% (23)
Slagwoods Bridge (98% presence): 4 copies — 50.9% (169), sub-4 counts are fringe (1–4 entries each)
Twisted Landscape (98% presence): 4 copies — 51.2% (163), 3 copies — 41.2% (4 entries)
Drossforge Bridge (96%): 4 copies — 50.1% (166)
Lembas (96%): 2 copies — 51.5% (90), 3 copies — 51.9% (65), 4 copies — 61.5% (only 4 entries, small), 1 copy — 33.3% (7 entries — running fewer hurts)
Vault of Whispers (96%): 2 copies — 50.5% (159), 1 copy — 61.1% (6, too small)
Makeshift Munitions (91%): 1 copy — 50.1% (156); 0 copies — 58.3% (16, small but not playing it correlates with higher WR — may indicate those 16 are outlier lists)
Nihil Spellbomb (98% in main): 3 copies — 52.6% (91), 4 copies — 50.0% (30), 2 copies — 49.7% (46), 1 copy — 25.0% (1, trivial)
Eviscerator's Insight (98%): Not split by copies in the query, but present as a near-universal 2-of
Refurbished Familiar (86%): 4 copies — 51.0% (149), 0 copies — 51.2% (22), 2 copies — 0.0% (1 entry only)
FLEX / VARIABLE-COUNT SLOTS:
Krark-Clan Shaman (84%): 3 copies — 52.1% (137, the clear consensus); 2 copies — 44.4% (6), 1 copy — 40.0% (2), 0 copies — 47.1% (27)
Pulse of Murasa (85%): 2 copies — 53.2% (57), 1 copy — 49.2% (91), 0 copies — 51.0% (24)
Toxin Analysis (60%): 2 copies — 52.5% (90), 3 copies — 77.8% (only 3 entries, too small), 1 copy — 45.6% (13), 0 copies — 48.2% (66)
Blood Fountain (57%): 0 copies — 55.1% (73), 1 copy — 48.6% (53), 2 copies — 46.3% (45) — skipping it correlates with better WR; lists not playing it may be better-tuned
Gixian Infiltrator (54%): 0 copies — 53.0% (78), 4 copies — 50.6% (23), 2 copies — 48.3% (65), 3 copies — 56.0% (5 only)
Nyxborn Hydra (54%): 1 copy — 50.1% (93), 0 copies — 52.1% (75), 2 copies — 46.7% (4, small)
Sagu Wildling // Roost Seek (34%): 1 copy — 51.8% (51), 0 copies — 50.4% (118), 2 copies — 63.6% (only 2 entries)
Bojuka Bog (35%): 0 copies — 52.5% (113), 1 copy — 48.1% (58)
Duress (main, 18%): 0 copies — 52.0% (141), 2 copies — 46.2% (23) — running main deck Duress seems weakly negative
Snuff Out (main, 14%): 0 copies — 51.7% (149), 1 copy — 46.2% (23)
MANABASE:
Swamp: 3 copies — 51.7% (151, dominant configuration), 4 copies — 51.5% (7), 2 copies — 36.6% (10 — running only 2 swamps hurts badly)
Mountain: 1 copy — 51.8% (138, the clear norm), 2 copies — 48.2% (30), 3+ — fringe
Forest: 2 copies — 50.9% (165, consensus), 1 copy — 54.5% (6, small)
Rustvale Bridge: 4 copies — 76.5% (5 entries only — heavily played by a few pilots with strong results, but sample too small for conclusions)
SIDEBOARD — Card Winrates by Copy Count:
Weather the Storm (98%): 3 copies — 51.5% (86), 4 copies — 52.1% (77) — both configurations fine; running fewer (1–2 copies) is associated with 25–35.7% WR (small samples, likely those lists have other issues)
Breath Weapon (92%): 2 copies — 51.5% (145, clear consensus), 3 copies — 59.3% (7, small but encouraging), 1 copy — 42.9% (5), 4 copies — 38.5% (3, tiny)
Duress (SB, 89%): 4 copies — 61.8% (21), 3 copies — 51.2% (89), 2 copies — 43.6% (45) — more Duress in the board correlates with higher WR
Troublemaker Ouphe (87%): 1 copy — 54.9% (51), 2 copies — 52.9% (66), 3 copies — 46.9% (31) — 1–2 copies outperform 3
Pyroblast (58%): 2 copies — 50.0% (44), 3 copies — 47.7% (47), 4 copies — 47.6% (6)
Red Elemental Blast (25%): 3 copies — 59.4% (30), 4 copies — 54.5% (10) — REB at 3–4 outperforms Pyroblast across all configurations; if running the blue hate package, REB is the better call
Nihil Spellbomb (SB, 56%): 1 copy — 50.9% (89, dominant config) — used to complement main-deck copies
Heritage Reclamation (25%): 1 copy — 53.0% (40) — modest positive signal for the graveyard-hate slot
Extract a Confession (19%): 2 copies — 58.1% (21), 1 copy — 39.2% (12) — running exactly 2 looks clearly better
Go for the Throat (20%): 2 copies — 52.6% (19), 1 copy — 46.2% (14) — similar pattern, 2 copies better
Avenging Hunter (20%): 1 copy — 54.1% (32) — a clean positive signal in the flex slot
Thorn of the Black Rose (6%): 1 copy — 60.5% (11) — small but consistent positive signal
Faerie Macabre (6%): 2 copies — 80.0% (4 entries, extremely small, take with caution), 1 copy — 32.0% (6)
Cast into the Fire (16%): 2 copies — 45.0% (24) — weak performer in its sample
Crypt Incursion (4%): 1 copy — 56.0% (8) — fringe but positive
KEY TAKEAWAYS:
The core engine (Writhing Chrysalis, Cleansing Wildfire, Fanatical Offering, Ichor Wellspring at 4 each; 3x Krark-Clan Shaman; 2–3x Lembas; 2x Vault of Whispers) is nearly locked. The flex slots most impacted by copy count are: Toxin Analysis is best at exactly 2 copies. Blood Fountain's absence is associated with better results suggesting it's a weaker inclusion. In the sideboard, Red Elemental Blast at 3 copies (59.4%) outperforms any Pyroblast configuration. Duress in the sideboard at 4 copies is the strongest signal in the data at 61.8%.
Sources: Data from 191 entries across 91 tournaments (Jan 10 - Mar 11 2026). 43% MTGO, 34% Melee, 23% Cardsrealm. Note: The archetype is tagged as "Jund Midrange" in the database; Cleansing Wildfire is present in 99% of lists, confirming this is the Jund Wildfires deck.
https://www.mtgo.com/decklist/pauper-challenge-32-2026-03-0812834527
https://www.mtgo.com/decklist/pauper-challenge-32-2026-03-0712834508
https://melee.gg/Decklist/View/0c755c6b-56d7-4b59-b6fa-b406007ec4e