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Modern Metagame Shifts and Future Predictions

1 requestsStarted 10/14/2025, 9:59:29 PM
analyze changes in modern metagame in the last month and extrapolate over the next month

I'll analyze the Modern metagame changes over the last month and provide insights on potential trends.

🛠️Get Meta Report

Now let me get trend data for the top archetypes to see how they've been moving:

🛠️Get Archetype Trends
🛠️Get Archetype Trends
🛠️Get Archetype Trends
🛠️Get Archetype Trends

Modern Metagame Analysis: Last Month & Projections

Current Meta Snapshot (Sept 13 - Oct 13)

The metagame is relatively balanced with no dominant deck, but several key trends are emerging:

Top Tier (by presence):

  • Boros Energy (12.3%, 50.0% WR) - Still the most played deck but showing weakness
  • Goryo Reanimator (9.0%, 49.4% WR) - High popularity, slightly below 50%
  • Affinity (8.7%, 51.2% WR) - Rising sharply in recent weeks
  • Tron (7.7%, 50.2% WR) - Stable presence

Performance Leaders:

  • Amulet Titan (5.3%, 58.0% WR) - Best performing deck, gaining momentum
  • Domain Zoo (6.1%, 56.0% WR) - Strong winrate, consistent presence

Key Trends Over the Last Month

📈 Rising Archetypes:

  1. Affinity - Surged from 3% to 10%+ presence in the last 3 weeks. Started weak (42-47% WR) but improving to 53% recently.
  2. Amulet Titan - Quietly climbing from 2% to 6% presence with a hot streak (61-64% WR last 3 weeks).
  3. Domain Zoo - Maintaining 55-60%+ winrates consistently; stable presence around 5-7%.

📉 Declining Archetypes:

  1. Boros Energy - Dropping from 15% to 11% presence; winrate fell from 53% to 46% in recent weeks. The deck is struggling.
  2. Blue Belcher (7.4%, 47.1% WR) - Poor winrate despite decent presence.
  3. Control decks (Azorius Control, Esper Blink) - Both underperforming at 45-46% WR.

Projection for Next Month

Expected to Rise:

  • Amulet Titan: Momentum is clear. Expect 7-9% presence with continued strong performance. Players are noticing the results.
  • Affinity: If pilots adapt better, this could become a 10-12% meta share deck. Watch for tech development.
  • Domain Zoo: Already performing well; likely to gain 1-2% presence as players seek consistent winners.

Expected to Decline:

  • Boros Energy: Poor recent results will drive players away. Predict drop to 8-10% unless a new build emerges.
  • Blue Belcher: Sub-50% winrate is unsustainable for combo; expect drop below 5%.

Wild Cards:

  • Goryo Reanimator at 9% - If Titan and Zoo keep rising, graveyard hate increases, which hurts this deck.
  • Meta could shift toward combo hate: With Goryo, Belcher, Neobrand, and Broodscale all present, expect more mainboard interaction.

Context

No bans or set releases since Edge of Eternities (Aug 1), so changes are organic player adaptation rather than external shocks.

Sources:
Data from 63 tournaments (79% MTGO, 21% Melee):