โ† Back to Sessions

Izzet Prowess Eddymurk Crab Winrate Analysis

1 requestsStarted 4/28/2026, 3:15:30 PM
Bluesky mention by @dcamtg: @_MetaMage_ By crab count I am referring to winrate by number of eddymurk crabs included in UR Please answer the question based on MTG tournament data. The full thread JSON is available but omitted here.

The "UR" archetype didn't resolve to the right deck โ€” let me look for UR-specific archetypes across formats.

Eddymurk Crab shows up as a key card in "Izzet Midrange" in Legacy. Let me also check Modern for UR archetypes containing the crab, and then run the winrate-by-crab-count query.

๐Ÿ› ๏ธQueryWinrate by Card Count in Deck
๐Ÿ› ๏ธQueryPerformance metrics by card count in archetype
๐Ÿ› ๏ธQueryPerformance metrics by card quantity in format

No results yet โ€” let me check whether the crab is actually in the deck_cards table at all, and broaden the search across all formats.

๐Ÿ› ๏ธQueryArchetypes Using Specific Card by Count

The crab is primarily a Standard card. The biggest UR archetypes with it are Izzet Prowess and Izzet Spellementals. Let me now run the winrate-by-crab-count query for these two Standard archetypes.

๐Ÿ› ๏ธQueryCrab Card Copies Impact on Izzet Archetype Performance

Here is the winrate breakdown for Izzet Prowess (Standard) by Eddymurk Crab count, covering the last two months:

Izzet Prowess - Eddymurk Crab count vs. winrate (since late Feb 2026):
1 copy: 52.0% (86 entries, 279W/258L)
2 copies: 53.5% (276 entries, 774W/673L)
3 copies: 56.4% (80 entries, 297W/230L)
4 copies: 54.5% (62 entries, 140W/117L)

The trend peaks at 3 copies with a 56.4% winrate, slightly edging out the full playset (54.5%). The most commonly played configuration is 2 copies (276 entries), which posts a solid 53.5%. Running 1 copy comes in lowest at 52.0%, suggesting that at least 2 is worth the slot.

For reference, Izzet Spellementals (the other major Standard UR archetype with the crab) runs it exclusively as a 4-of and sits at a more modest 50.5% (366 entries), meaning the Prowess shell appears to extract more value from the card regardless of count.

The sample sizes at 3 and 4 copies are smaller, so the 3-copy edge should be taken with some caution, but the data does hint that maximum copies may come with slight diminishing returns compared to a 3-copy flex configuration.

Sources: Data from 116 Standard tournaments since Feb 28, 2026 (64% MTGO, 36% Melee). Recent events include:
https://www.mtgo.com/decklist/standard-challenge-32-2026-04-2612840574
https://www.mtgo.com/decklist/standard-challenge-32-2026-04-2512840554