I'll analyze the Mono Red Aggro vs Jeskai Control matchup in Standard using tournament data.
Let me get the Standard format data specifically:
Based on the tournament data, Mono Red Aggro actually does NOT have a winning record against Jeskai Control in Standard. Over the last 60 days, Mono Red won only 76 matches while losing 85 against Jeskai Control across 164 recorded matches, giving it a 47.2% winrate in the matchup. This is slightly unfavorable for the red deck.
The data shows Jeskai Control is one of the top Standard archetypes at 9.1% meta presence with a solid 50.9% overall winrate, while Mono Red Aggro sits at 4.9% presence with 48.3% overall winrate. Jeskai's suite of removal, board wipes like Day of Judgment, and lifegain cards like Lightning Helix provide effective tools against aggressive strategies. The control deck can stabilize and turn the corner once it survives the early pressure.
If you're piloting Mono Red against Jeskai Control, the matchup is essentially even with a slight edge to the control player. Success likely depends on maximizing early pressure before they can establish control with sweepers and card advantage engines.
Sources: Data from 130 Standard tournaments (56% MTGO, 44% Melee) between December 3, 2025 and February 2, 2026. Recent events include:
https://www.mtgo.com/decklist/standard-challenge-32-2026-02-0112831753
https://melee.gg/Decklist/View/e02aa67f-856a-44bd-b793-b3e3016d7211
https://www.mtgo.com/decklist/standard-rc-super-qualifier-2026-02-0112831692