I'll analyze the matchup performance of Izzet Prowess against tier 1 and tier 2 Modern decks. Let me start by getting the current meta and Izzet Prowess data.
I see that "Izzet Prowess" returned Standard data, but the meta report shows "prowess" as #9 in Modern. Let me get the correct Modern prowess archetype data and then calculate matchups against the top tier decks.
Now let me get the head-to-head matchup data for Prowess against the tier 1 and tier 2 decks from the meta report. I'll check matchups against the top 10-12 archetypes.
Prowess in Modern has polarized matchups against tier 1 and tier 2 decks over the past 60 days. The deck shows strong performance against control and midrange strategies but struggles significantly against big mana and fast aggro-combo decks.
Top favorable matchups include Azorius Control (67.7% winrate across 31 matches), Esper Blink (56.9%, 58 matches), Blue Belcher (54.0%, 63 matches), and Grixis Reanimator (53.8%, 26 matches). Prowess also maintains a slight edge against the format's top deck, Boros Energy, at 53.2% (126 matches). These matchups reward the deck's ability to pressure interaction-heavy opponents and close games quickly before they stabilize.
However, Prowess has severe problems with Domain Zoo (22.8% winrate, 57 matches), Tron (35.9%, 64 matches), Ruby Storm (31.6%, 19 matches), and Amulet Titan (36.1%, 61 matches). The deck also underperforms against Goryo Reanimator (42.4%, 66 matches) and Affinity (43.1%, 58 matches). These matchups highlight Prowess's vulnerability to decks that go bigger faster or race effectively. Overall, the archetype sits at 46.8% overall winrate with 4.34% meta presence, positioned as a fringe tier 2 choice that requires careful meta reading.
Sources:
Data from 91 Modern tournaments (78% MTGO, 22% Melee) between August 16 and October 16, 2025.
https://www.mtgo.com/decklist/modern-challenge-32-2025-10-0312819547
https://www.mtgo.com/decklist/modern-challenge-32-2025-10-1212819536
https://www.mtgo.com/decklist/modern-challenge-32-2025-10-1212819532