Now I'll get matchup winrates for Simic Ritual against the top tier archetypes:
Simic Ritual shows a polarized matchup profile over the last 60 days, with excellent results against big mana and combo but struggles against midrange and aggressive fair decks. The deck went 7-0 (100% winrate) against Amulet Titan and posted strong numbers versus Blue Belcher (80%), Prowess (80%), Affinity (71%), and Tron (64%). However, it suffers badly against Domain Zoo (17% winrate, 1-5 record) and Esper Blink (33%, 3-6 record), with below-50% rates against Boros Energy (43%, 6-8), Goryo Reanimator (40%, 2-3), and even matchups versus Azorius Control (50%, 1-1).
The data suggests Simic Ritual excels when its disruption package (Force of Negation, Subtlety) can target critical combo pieces or when the tempo from Birthing Ritual and Shardless Agent cascades can overwhelm slower strategies. Against efficient midrange threats like Boros Energy or Domain Zoo's multi-format-all-stars, the deck lacks the raw power to compete on board. With 107 entries across 8 tournaments and an overall 52.2% winrate, Simic Ritual appears positioned as a tier 2-3 metagame choice that rewards players who correctly anticipate a field heavy on combo and big mana.
Sources:
Data from 19 tournaments: 74% MTGO, 26% Melee
https://www.mtgo.com/decklist/modern-challenge-32-2025-10-0312819547
https://melee.gg/Decklist/View/3ca38463-57bd-4b03-bc9c-b372014bd49a
https://www.mtgo.com/decklist/modern-challenge-32-2025-10-0512818137