I'll analyze the matchup data for this specific tournament field to determine which deck would have the highest expected winrate against these archetypes.
Let me gather the matchup winrates for the major contenders against each of these decks:
Let me check some more archetypes that might be well-positioned:
Let me get more data to give you a comprehensive answer:
Based on the tournament data, I have limited matchup information for this specific field. The issue is that Eldrazi Tron and Tameshi Belcher have very little recorded matchup data in recent months, making it difficult to provide a data-backed recommendation.
However, from the available data:
Against the known matchups:
Expected weighted winrate: ~58.5% against the tested portion of the field (56% of the tournament)
Other considerations:
Important caveat: I don't have sufficient data on Eldrazi Tron (5 players, 31% of field) or Tameshi Belcher matchups to make a fully confident recommendation. Control strategies typically struggle against Eldrazi Tron's threats, which could significantly impact the actual outcome.
Sources:
Data from 367 tournaments (74.7% MTGO, 25.3% Melee). Recent events: Modern Challenge 10/12, Modern Challenge 10/12, Modern Challenge 10/11