← Back to Sessions

Modern Black Splash Simic Ritual Matchups

1 requestsStarted 9/18/2025, 3:02:18 AM
What is the winrate of modern simic ritual splashing white vs modern simic ritual splashing black? Include what matchups each is worse or better against.

I'll analyze the winrate comparison between white-splashing and black-splashing Simic Ritual variants in Modern. Let me first get an overview of these archetypes and then dive into their performance data.

Now let me check for specific white and black splash variants:

Let me try different naming variations:

🛠️QueryRitual Archetypes in Specific Format

I can see we have "Bant Ritual" (white splash) but not a clear black splash variant. Let me check the last 60 days for performance data and get more details on the color distributions:

The Bant Ritual sample size is too small (only 3 matches). Let me check if there are black-splashing ritual decks that might be classified differently:

🛠️QueryBlack Ritual Deck Popularity in Summer Tournament

I found some black cards in Simic Ritual decks and Abzan Ritual. Let me analyze the specific splash patterns and their performance:

🛠️QueryRitual Deck Color Splash Performance Analysis

Now let me get matchup data for the black splash variant (which has the most data) to see what it performs well against:

🛠️QueryBlack Splash Matchup Analysis Against Archetypes

The results show 0 wins/losses for all matchups, which suggests an issue with my query. Let me fix this:

🛠️QueryBlack Splash Deck Matchup Performance Analysis

There seems to be an issue with the match result data. Let me check the match table structure and get sources for this data:

🛠️QueryMatch Results by Tournament Date Range

The results are stored as "WIN", "LOSS", "DRAW" not "W", "L", "D". Let me correct the query:

🛠️QueryBlack Splash Archetype Performance Against Other Decks

Now let me check if there are enough white splash ritual decks to compare meaningfully:

🛠️QueryWhite Splash Archetype Tournament Entries Count

Now let me get some sources to back up this analysis:

Based on my analysis of Modern tournament data from July 19 to September 17, 2025, here are the key findings:

Winrate Comparison: Black Splash vs White Splash Simic Ritual

Black Splash Simic Ritual: 54.7% winrate (88-73-13 record, 34 entries)
White Splash Simic Ritual: 40.0% winrate (2-3-0 record, 2 entries)

The black splash variant significantly outperforms the white splash version, but the white splash sample size is extremely small and not statistically meaningful.

Matchup Performance for Black Splash Simic Ritual (3+ matches):

Strong Matchups (65%+ winrate):

  • Orzhov Blink: 80.0% (4-1)
  • Amulet Titan: 80.0% (4-1)
  • Dimir Frog: 75.0% (3-1)
  • Tron: 72.7% (8-3-1)
  • Grixis Reanimator: 66.7% (4-2-1)
  • Neobrand: 66.7% (2-1-2)
  • Goryo Reanimator: 66.7% (2-1)
  • Esper Frog: 66.7% (2-1)
  • Esper Blink: 64.3% (9-5-2)
  • Domain Zoo: 61.5% (8-5)

Poor Matchups (35% or lower winrate):

  • Blue Belcher: 20.0% (1-4)
  • Boros Energy: 26.3% (5-14) - Worst matchup
  • Ruby Storm: 33.3% (2-4)
  • Ramp Eldrazi: 33.3% (1-2-1)
  • Broodscale: 37.5% (3-5-1)

Even Matchups:

  • Azorius Control: 50.0% (2-2-2)
  • Prowess: 50.0% (2-2-1)
  • Living End: 50.0% (1-1-1)
  • Affinity: 55.6% (5-4)

The black splash performs particularly well against ramp strategies (Tron, Amulet Titan) and graveyard-based decks, but struggles against aggressive energy decks and fast combo like Blue Belcher.

Sources
Data from 31 tournaments: 83.9% MTGO, 16.1% Melee. Key events include https://www.mtgo.com/decklist/modern-challenge-64-2025-09-0812813589, https://www.mtgo.com/decklist/modern-challenge-32-2025-09-0712813574, https://www.mtgo.com/decklist/modern-challenge-32-2025-09-0712813570.