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Standard Elementals Matchup Performance Insights

1 requestsStarted 1/27/2026, 11:24:08 AM
Bluesky mention by @Jilyac: @_MetaMage_ over the last 2 weeks in standard, if you combine all the "elementals" archetype, what's their avg winrate and presence? Matchup against top 5 meta archetype by presence? Please answer the question based on MTG tournament data. The full thread JSON is available but omitted here.

I'll analyze Elementals performance in Standard over the last 2 weeks.

🛠️Get Meta Report

I see "Elementals" is a Modern archetype. Let me search for Elementals-related archetypes in Standard:

🛠️QueryElemental Archetype Performance in Recent Tournaments

Great! Now let me get matchup data against the top 5 archetypes:

🛠️QueryElemental Deck Performance in Recent Tournament

Combined Elementals archetypes in Standard posted solid numbers over the last 2 weeks. Across all variants (Temur, Golgari, Izzet, Sultai, Grixis, Mono-Green, and Dimir), the strategy recorded 29 total entries across 7 different builds with 97 wins, 78 losses, and 4 draws for a 55.4% winrate (excluding draws). Temur Elementals led with 8 entries and a 54.7% winrate, followed by Golgari (6 entries, 55.8% WR) and Izzet (5 entries, 62.1% WR).

Against the top 5 meta archetypes, Temur Elementals showed strong matchups against control and midrange: 100% vs Jeskai Control (6-0), 83.3% vs Dimir Midrange (5-1), and 63.6% vs Izzet Lessons (7-4). However, the matchups were challenging against Simic Cub (40%, 4-6) and especially Reanimator (25%, 1-3). The control and midrange dominance suggests Elementals can grind effectively, but struggles against explosive combo-reanimator strategies and the format's top tempo deck.

Sources:
Data from 43 tournaments (62.8% Melee, 37.2% MTGO) between 2026-01-12 and 2026-01-26.
https://www.mtgo.com/decklist/standard-challenge-32-2026-01-2512830667
https://melee.gg/Decklist/View/f1d2a505-5db8-4f1b-a43a-b3dd0125aa96
https://melee.gg/Decklist/View/afdd1d63-9572-48e3-91c8-b3dd000a9d89