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Neoform Deck Performance Meta Breakdown

1 requestsStarted 9/30/2025, 4:44:04 PM
tell me everything about Neoform since August 1st : winrate, good and bad match-up, confidence interval.

I'll analyze Neoform's performance in Modern since August 1st. Let me gather comprehensive data on this archetype.

Let me search for Neoform in Modern format specifically:

The archetype found is in Pioneer. Let me search for Neoform in Modern format and check the meta report to see if it appears:

🛠️Get Meta Report

Let me search for any Neoform-related archetype by querying the database directly:

🛠️QueryNeoform Archetype Performance in Fall 2025 Tournaments

Let me check for any archetype containing "neoform" more broadly:

🛠️QueryNeoform Archetypes Across Formats
🛠️QueryNeoform Combo Archetypes List

Now let me check if there are any Neoform cards being played in Modern to see if the archetype exists under a different name:

🛠️Get Card Presence

Let me search specifically for any archetype that might be playing Neoform in Modern:

🛠️QueryNeoform Usage Across Tournament Archetypes

Great! Now I found that Neoform is primarily played in Neobrand. Let me get comprehensive analysis for Neobrand:

🛠️Get Archetype Trends

Now let me analyze the most important matchups for Neobrand:

Let me get some more matchup data and then provide sources:

Now let me calculate confidence intervals for the winrate:

🛠️QueryArchetype Performance in Late August Tournament Season

Neobrand (Neoform) Analysis Since August 1st

Overall Performance

Winrate: 51.05% (243-233 record, excluding draws)

  • Sample Size: 476 decisive matches across 86 entries
  • Meta Share: 2.79% presence (13th most played archetype)
  • 95% Confidence Interval: ~46.5% - 55.6%*

Performance Trends

  • Late August Peak: Strong 60% winrate week of Aug 25-31
  • Recent Decline: Dropped to 43.9% in the most recent week (Sept 22-28)
  • Consistency Issues: Highly volatile week-to-week performance

Key Matchups

Favorable Matchups:

  • Prowess: 64.71% (11-6)
  • Boros Energy: 58.82% (40-28) - Great vs the top deck!
  • Tron: 53.85% (28-24)

Poor Matchups:

  • Blue Belcher: 35.48% (11-20) - Worst matchup
  • Domain Zoo: 48.15% (13-14) - Slightly unfavored

Even Matchups:

  • Esper Blink: 51.85% (14-13)

Key Insights

  • Strong against creature-based aggro/midrange strategies
  • Struggles against other combo decks (Blue Belcher)
  • Recent meta shift seems unfavorable - declining winrate trend
  • Small sample sizes in individual matchups limit statistical confidence

Sources
Data from 62 tournaments: 83.9% MTGO, 16.1% Melee. Recent events: 2nd Chance PTQ (PT EOE), Modern Challenge 32, Modern Challenge 64.

*95% CI calculated using standard binomial confidence interval for proportion.