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Tron Meta Performance August September

1 requestsStarted 9/30/2025, 4:50:39 PM
tell me everything about Tron since August 1, good matchup, bad match up winrate and confidence interval

I'll analyze Tron's performance since August 1st, including overall winrate, matchups, and trends. Let me gather the data.

🛠️Get Archetype Trends

Now let me get matchup data against the top archetypes in the meta to identify best and worst matchups:

🛠️Get Meta Report

Now let me check key matchups:

Let me calculate confidence intervals and get sources:

🛠️QueryTron Matchup Results in Competitive Tournament Format

Tron Analysis (August 1 - September 29, 2025)

Overall Performance

  • Winrate: 53.6% (709W-613L-73D across 1,395 matches)
  • Meta presence: 7.72% of tournament entries (257 entries in 90 tournaments)
  • 95% Confidence Interval: 51.0% - 56.2% (based on 1,333 decisive matches)

Weekly Trends

Tron showed volatile performance throughout the period:

  • Early August: Strong start (66.7% WR week 1, settling to ~50-53%)
  • Early September: Concerning dip to 43.1% WR (Sept 1-7)
  • Mid-September: Strong recovery to 56.3% WR (Sept 8-21)
  • Late September: Back to average at 50.3%

Meta share peaked at 11.6% in mid-September, indicating increased pilot adoption during the strong performance period.

Best Matchups (>60% WR)

  1. Prowess: 68.9% (31-14-4, 45 decisive games)
  2. Domain Zoo: 63.3% (50-29-2, 79 decisive games)
  3. Goryo Reanimator: 61.5% (51-32-5, 83 decisive games)

Worst Matchups (<40% WR)

  1. Amulet Titan: 20.0% (11-44-5, 55 decisive games) - Heavily unfavored

Even/Challenging Matchups (45-55% WR)

  • Blue Belcher: 49.6% (65-66-2, 131 decisive games)
  • Boros Energy: 53.1% (103-91-12, 194 decisive games) - Slight edge

Key Cards

Core package remains consistent: Urza lands, Expedition Map, Karn TGC, Kozilek's Command. Notable additions include Ugin, Eye of the Storms (3.2 avg) and Devourer of Destiny (3.9 avg) as new threats.

Sources: Data from 103 tournaments (83.5% MTGO, 16.5% Melee) including recent events like 2nd Chance PTQ and Modern Challenge 32.