← Back to Sessions

Amulet Titan Explore vs Primeval Winrate

1 requestsStarted 9/30/2025, 6:46:27 AM
can you compute the winrate of amulet titan with explore vs with rumble. Along the confidence interval. Since august 1st

I'll analyze the winrate of Amulet Titan with Explore vs with Primeval Titan (Rumble) since August 1st. Let me start by getting the necessary data.

Now I'll query the database to analyze Amulet Titan decks with Explore vs those with Primeval Titan since August 1st, 2025:

🛠️QueryAmulet Titan Deck Performance with Key Cards

Now let me calculate confidence intervals for both variants. I'll use the Wilson score interval for more accurate confidence intervals, especially for smaller sample sizes:

🛠️QueryExplore and Titan Impacts on Deck Performance

Let me get some sources for this analysis:

Amulet Titan: Explore vs Primeval Titan Analysis (Since August 1st)

Key Findings:

With Explore:

  • 153 entries across 678 total games
  • Winrate: 50.0% (339-339 record)
  • 95% Confidence Interval: 46.3% - 53.8%

With Primeval Titan:

  • 43 entries across 207 total games
  • Winrate: 58.5% (121-86 record)
  • 95% Confidence Interval: 51.7% - 65.0%

Statistical Analysis:
The Primeval Titan variant shows an 8.5 percentage point higher winrate than the Explore variant. However, the confidence intervals overlap slightly (Explore upper bound: 53.8% vs Titan lower bound: 51.7%), indicating the difference may not be statistically significant at the 95% confidence level.

Sample Size Considerations:

  • Explore variant has a much larger sample (3.6x more entries)
  • Primeval Titan's higher winrate comes from a smaller but still meaningful sample size
  • The traditional Primeval Titan build appears to be performing better, but more data would strengthen this conclusion

Sources:
Data from 84 tournaments since August 1st: 82.1% MTGO, 17.9% Melee. Recent examples include https://melee.gg/Decklist/View/91a51e51-fc70-4ad1-ad8e-b366001afdd7, https://www.mtgo.com/decklist/modern-challenge-32-2025-09-2812816543, and https://www.mtgo.com/decklist/modern-challenge-64-2025-09-2712816537.