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Tron Dominates Diverse Modern Meta

1 requestsStarted 10/15/2025, 10:32:59 AM
In a modern metagame consisting of the following decks, what deck should you bring for the highest average winrate. | Tron | 4 | | Esper Blink | 4 | | Boros Energy | 3 | | Affinity | 3 | | Domain Zoo | 3 | | Esper Goryos | 2 | | Broodscale | 2 | | UW Control | 1 | | Living End | 1 | | Yawgmoth | 1 | | U Belcher | 1 | Storm | 1 | | Amulet Titan | 1 |

I'll analyze this metagame to find which deck has the highest expected winrate against this field. Let me gather head-to-head matchup data for the major archetypes.

Let me gather a few more key matchups and check the overall performance of the top contenders:

Based on the matchup data against your specific metagame, let me calculate the expected winrates:

Recommendation: Tron

Based on tournament data from the last 2 months, Tron has the highest expected winrate against this field at approximately 52.3%.

Key Matchup Analysis:

Tron's Performance vs Your Meta:

  • vs Tron (4 decks): Mirror - excluded
  • vs Esper Blink (4 decks): 55.8% WR (63-50 record)
  • vs Boros Energy (3 decks): 48.4% WR (reverse of Boros's 51.6%)
  • vs Affinity (3 decks): 56.0% WR (61-48 record)
  • vs Domain Zoo (3 decks): 57.1% WR (48-36 record)
  • vs Living End (1 deck): 81.8% WR (18-4 record)

Why Tron outperforms:

  • Strong against the field's control/midrange: 55-58% winrate vs Esper Blink, Affinity, and Domain Zoo
  • Crushes Living End (82% winrate) and likely favorable vs combo decks
  • Overall 52.3% non-mirror winrate across all matchups

Domain Zoo (52.1% overall WR) is close second:

  • Beats Boros Energy (54.8%), Esper Blink (53.3%)
  • But loses to Tron (42.9%), which represents 16% of your field

Boros Energy (51.3% overall WR) is essentially 50/50:

  • Slight edges vs Esper/Affinity
  • Loses to Domain Zoo (45.2%)
  • Even vs Tron (51.6%)

Sources:

Data from 120 tournaments (80% MTGO, 20% Melee). Recent events: Modern Challenge 10/12, Modern Challenge 10/12, Modern Challenge 10/11