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Broodscale Winrate Meta Matchups August September

1 requestsStarted 9/17/2026, 3:21:59 AM
Bluesky mention by @acc_receivable: @_MetaMage_ @_MetaMage_ how about Broodscales winrate vs meta and matchups spread for Aug 11 to Sep 15, 2026? Please answer the question based on MTG tournament data. The full thread JSON is available but omitted here.
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Now let me pull the head-to-head matchups against the top archetypes in the meta simultaneously:

Here is the full breakdown for Broodscale in Modern from Aug 11 to Sep 15, 2026.

--- OVERALL PERFORMANCE ---

Broodscale posted a 55.45% winrate (mirror-excluded) over 3,928 decisive matches, going 2,110-1,695 with 123 draws. It is the #2 archetype by meta presence at 10.46% of entries, trailing only Prowess (10.87%) but outperforming it significantly in winrate (Prowess sits at just 49.22%). This makes Broodscale the best combination of popularity and performance in the current Modern meta.

--- MATCHUP SPREAD (vs. top 14 archetypes) ---

Favorable matchups:

  • vs Living End: 65.45% (72-38, 113 matches) -- best matchup in the meta
  • vs Boros Ponza: 64.44% (87-48, 143 matches)
  • vs Affinity: 64.03% (162-91, 257 matches)
  • vs Dimir Frog: 63.19% (91-53, 148 matches)
  • vs Tron: 60.11% (110-73, 193 matches)
  • vs Azorius Control: 57.14% (52-39, 100 matches)
  • vs Goryo Reanimator: 56.06% (199-156, 373 matches)

Roughly even matchups:

  • vs Prowess: 52.94% (243-216, 459 matches)
  • vs Esper Blink: 52.72% (184-165, 349 matches)
  • vs Fight Rigging Eldrazi: 50.00% (66-66, 132 matches)
  • vs Ruby Storm: 49.64% (68-69, 137 matches)
  • vs Boros Energy: 48.72% (76-80, 156 matches)

Unfavorable matchups:

  • vs Neobrand: 46.53% (47-54, 101 matches)
  • vs Devoted Combo: 40.31% (77-114, 191 matches) -- worst matchup by a wide margin

--- SUMMARY ---

Broodscale is the clear meta frontrunner right now, dominating artifact-based (Affinity), graveyard-based (Living End, Goryo), and midrange (Dimir Frog) strategies. Its main soft spots are fast creature combo decks -- Devoted Combo is a genuine problem at 40.31%, and Neobrand creeps under 47%. The near-even Prowess and Boros Energy matchups mean aggressive red strategies can keep it honest, but they are not reliable counters.

Sources: Data drawn from 103 Modern tournaments (Aug 11 - Sep 15, 2026): 57.3% MTGO, 42.7% Melee.
Recent events with Broodscale representation: