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Modern Metagame Shifts and Emerging Threats

1 requestsStarted 9/13/2025, 6:07:03 PM
okay do an analyse that you don't share to me of each matchup and precense and what metagame we can have in 2 week

I'll analyze the current Modern metagame to understand matchups, presence, and potential trends for the next 2 weeks. Let me gather comprehensive data first.

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Based on my comprehensive analysis of the Modern metagame over the past 60 days, here's what I've found for potential developments in the next 2 weeks:

Current Meta Landscape

Top Tier:

  • Boros Energy dominates at 14.6% presence but shows concerning 50.6% winrate - slightly underperforming for its popularity
  • Esper Blink at 7.2% with strong 52.3% winrate - potentially underrepresented
  • Domain Zoo at 6.2% with balanced 51.2% winrate

Key Matchup Dynamics

Boros Energy Struggles:

  • Unfavorable vs Domain Zoo (46.9% winrate)
  • Even vs Esper Blink (49.2% winrate)
  • This explains its mediocre overall performance despite high play rate

Meta Triangle:

  • Domain Zoo beats Boros Energy
  • Esper Blink slightly favored vs both
  • Creates natural balance preventing total dominance

Next 2 Weeks Prediction

Expected Shifts:

  1. Boros Energy decline - Players will recognize its poor matchup spread
  2. Esper Blink rise - Underplayed for its performance, good matchups vs top decks
  3. Combo deck resurgence - Blue Belcher (53.8% WR), Ruby Storm (53.2% WR) positioned well

Emerging Threats:

  • Azorius Control (53.9% WR) - Excellent winrate, only 2.9% presence
  • Ramp Eldrazi (53.4% WR) - Flying under radar at 2.6%

Format Health:
Recent Edge of Eternities release (Aug 1) appears balanced - no single dominant strategy. The meta shows healthy diversity with multiple viable approaches.

Sources

Data from 107 tournaments (83% MTGO, 17% Melee events). Recent examples: Modern Challenge Sept 8, CommandFest Ottawa, Modern Challenge Sept 7.