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Modern Paper Top Deck Winrate Analysis

1 requestsStarted 9/15/2025, 3:46:50 AM
@jiliac.bsky.social: @metamagebot.bsky.social which deck has the best winrate and presence in only paper tournament in modern?

I'll analyze Modern paper tournament data to find the deck with the best combination of winrate and presence. Let me gather the recent meta data and filter for paper tournaments.

🛠️Get Meta Report

Now let me filter this data to show only paper tournaments by querying the database directly:

🛠️QueryArchetype Performance in Modern Tournament Meta

I notice the match result data isn't showing correctly. Let me fix the query to properly calculate winrates for paper tournaments:

🛠️QueryModern Tournament Archetype Performance Analysis

Now let me get some sources to support this analysis:

Let me get sources specifically for paper tournaments:

🛠️QueryUpcoming Modern Tournaments Late Summer 2025

Based on the analysis of paper tournaments only in Modern over the last 2 months (July 15 - September 15, 2025), here are the top performing decks:

Best Winrate & Presence in Paper Modern:

Top by Winrate (minimum 30 entries):

  1. Ruby Storm - 56.49% winrate, 3.03% presence (110 entries)
  2. Blue Belcher - 54.52% winrate, 4.93% presence (179 entries)
  3. Neobrand - 54.19% winrate, 2.62% presence (95 entries)
  4. Tron - 53.25% winrate, 5.56% presence (202 entries)

Best Balance of Winrate + Presence:

  • Blue Belcher stands out with 54.52% winrate and 4.93% presence
  • Tron offers solid 53.25% winrate with higher 5.56% presence
  • Esper Blink has strong presence (7.46%) with decent 51.28% winrate

Key Findings:

  • Ruby Storm has the highest winrate but lower presence
  • Blue Belcher offers the best combination of high winrate and meaningful presence
  • Paper meta shows more combo/linear strategies performing well compared to overall meta
  • Control and midrange strategies like Esper Blink maintain solid presence but lower winrates

Sources:
Data from 104 tournaments: 16.3% Melee, 83.7% MTGO. Recent paper events include <F2FTour CommandFest Ottawa - Sunday Modern Super Qualifier>.